Leo Gura

Make Your 2020 General Election Predictions Here!

2,415 posts in this topic

Btw Trump’s Twitter has gained 100k’s of followers each day :  /

 

 

How about Biden’s?


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I wonder how we are all going to react if it is actually proven that fraud/corruption took place.... 

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4 minutes ago, b_woo said:

I wonder how we are all going to react if it is actually proven that fraud/corruption took place.... 

I wonder how they will react if there’s nothing at all


The simulacrum is never that which conceals the truth—it is the truth which conceals that there is none. The simulacrum is true.

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7 minutes ago, Thewritersunion said:

Btw Trump’s Twitter has gained 100k’s of followers each day :  /

 

 

How about Biden’s?

Adolf Twittler is always gaining twitt minions. Nbd


INFJ-T,ptsd,BPD, autism, anger issues

Cleared out ignore list today. 

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@b_woo

8 minutes ago, b_woo said:

I wonder how we are all going to react if it is actually proven that fraud/corruption took place.... 

   It would be shocking to think any kind of corruption would take place on Biden's side whatsoever...xD

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5 minutes ago, Preety_India said:

Adolf Twittler is always gaining twitt minions. Nbd

xDxDxD


My Youtube Channel- Light on Earth “We dance round in a ring and suppose, but the Secret sits in the middle and knows.”― Robert Frost

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1 minute ago, Danioover9000 said:

@b_woo

   It would be shocking to think any kind of corruption would take place on Biden's side whatsoever...xD

False equivalency is the Maple Syrup that MAGA pours on thier Authoritarian pancakes.


I have a Substack, where I write about epistemology, metarationality, and the Meaning Crisis. 

Check it out at : https://7provtruths.substack.com/

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Conspiracy theories running rampant 

???


The simulacrum is never that which conceals the truth—it is the truth which conceals that there is none. The simulacrum is true.

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2 minutes ago, Danioover9000 said:

@b_woo

   It would be shocking to think any kind of corruption would take place on Biden's side whatsoever...xD

Exactly. There's dodgy shit going down on both sides. I'm just wondering how blind eveyones eye is on here. 

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1 hour ago, Free Mind said:

@Forestluv So basically Biden needs to maintain >.01 margin in NV and AZ, and needs to maintain >.05 in Pennsylvania?

No one wants to call the election if there is a chance of a recount.

In NV, there is no threshold for a state-mandated recount, yet the losing candidate can request a recount. Obviously, Trump would request a recount if he think it will benefit him. 

In AZ, an auto-recount is triggered at a win <0.1%. Losing candidates are not allowed to request a recount. Yet I don't know if the AZ GOP or Trump could force a recount through lawsuits. I'm sure they will try. The larger Biden's lead over 0.1% the harder it would be to force a recount. If Biden's lead is 0.15%, I could see a judge allowing a recount - especially since it could determine the election. I'm not sure what AZ law is, yet this exactly why Trump wanted his scotus judges. Yet I imagine a lead of 0.5%+ would be much harder to get a recount. 

In PA, the auto recount threshold is 0.5%, yet I don't know if that is just for non-provisional ballots or includes provisional ballots.

For the election to be called soon, Biden needs to be outside the recount zone of either; (A) NV and AZ or (B) PA. Yet Trump will do all he can to force recounts, dispute ballots, prevent post-marked ballots from being counted etc. If Biden has a 0.2% lead in AZ and PA goes recount, I see Trump trying to force a recount in AZ in courts. People have been talking for months about how Trump will force lawsuits. His chances of gaining traction go up considerably if there is an auto-recount in AZ or PA (or Trump can convince judges to prevent NV from declaring a winner before a recount). 

Right now, Biden has the narrative momentum - yet NV, AZ, or PA needs to call soon to maintain that momentum. At this point, the process has seemed fair, yet that can change if cracks start opening up for Trump.

1 hour ago, Free Mind said:

@Forestluv 

Could you expand on the lawsuit on mail-in votes? So mail in ballots that arrive after November 3rd will not be counted? I’m confused about this.

By Pennsylvania law, mail in ballots post-marked by Nov. 3rd are eligible, even if they arrive after Nov. 3rd. There is a batch of ballots that are post-marked Nov. 3rd, yet arrived late. These will favor Biden. They are being counted, yet Trump / GOP was successful in getting these ballots put to the side during their lawsuits trying to invalidate these ballots. These votes have not been added to the reported PA numbers. 

It has not been determined whether they will count. Trump's lawsuit is to invalidate them. There hasn't been a decision yet. For now, they have been placed to the side. 

Hopefully Biden won't need these ballots, yet this is the type of thing Dems worried about with the courts. The PA senate is majority republican and the governor and head election official is Democrat - so a split. The last few months, there have been many lawsuits in PA and so far the PA courts have seemed fair - yet I'm disappointed that they didn't throw this case out. Yet I trust the PA supreme court much more than scotus. 

Correction: The PA supreme court upheld the law and said the post-marked, late arriving ballots should be counted and tabulated. The PA republican senate then went to scotus, who said the ballots must be separated and could not be included in the tabulation at this time. PA election officials have said there are about 55k of these ballots

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6 minutes ago, b_woo said:

Exactly. There's dodgy shit going down on both sides. I'm just wondering how blind eveyones eye is on here. 

For so many years, there was never a question mark on the election process in the US. 

And now with Donald Twittler at the helm, suddenly there is a tributary of conspiracy theories from everywhere. Why? Because he can't win the election fairly. So the election must not be fair!! 

Undermining the United States constitutional stability in maintaining and prevailing a free and fair election is nothing but - Fake news. The real fake news, not the one Twittler talks about. 

 


INFJ-T,ptsd,BPD, autism, anger issues

Cleared out ignore list today. 

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10 minutes ago, DocWatts said:

False equivalency is the Maple Syrup that MAGA pours on thier Authoritarian pancakes.

The framing of "Both sides are corrupt" benefits Trump's side since it gives him cover. So far, Biden has had the stronger position and his team is allowing states to do their thing. Trump's team is the one trying to stop counting in one state, continue counting in another state - invalidate a ballot type in one state, yet have the same ballot type be valid in another state etc. 

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4 minutes ago, Consept said:

you must get bored, how many accounts have you burned through xD

Sorry to disappoint you @Consept but this is my first and only account on here. Are my statements or questions implying otherwise? 

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Making claims of false equivalency between the two sides only serves to empower the pro-fascist MAGA Cult. Anyone who's not able to make a clear distinction between someone who's pretty par for the course in American politics, and someone who's intentionally steering the country into an iceberg to serve his own selfish agenda is obviously arguing in Bad Faith, and has most likely has been indoctrinated into a Cult of personality.

Don't waste your time arguing with these people, and let the mods hit them with a Ban Hammer if they continue to spread misinformation.

Edited by DocWatts

I have a Substack, where I write about epistemology, metarationality, and the Meaning Crisis. 

Check it out at : https://7provtruths.substack.com/

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Trump has fired up the crazies!!!


The simulacrum is never that which conceals the truth—it is the truth which conceals that there is none. The simulacrum is true.

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@b_woo Is safe. Their speech is different and they’re not as aggressive and gas lighting as the troll we had earlier today/yesterday 


 You have been gifted the Golden Kappa~! 

 

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Trump is asking to stop counting votes in a democracy, it's happening now, but some guys here putting the focus anywhere else, like look how the other side is corrupt as well, look what Obama did or what Hillary said, of course, blaming how biased others are. Look guys, it sucks when the one you like doesn't win, or the one that you dislike wins. But if you want to set the precedent of not counting votes, candidates not conceding when losing, that goes against the most fundamental principals of democracy.

There's something awful going on now and Trump is the responsible. Biden has not said anything out of tone since the election, that's the truth. Swallow your own bias for once and acknoledge what's happening, instead of gaslighting towards other topics.  People have voted, votes have to be counted, then we see who leads for the next 4 years. Spoilers: Biden.

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Trump is only powerful because a large number of people decided to give him power. Without them he is a nobody. 

He was a loser businessman who came from a sleazy corner of life, his way of making money was always about propping himself as this great businessman and make his business look successful with vulgar ostentatious display of stuff borrowed on loans and making people invest in his lackluster businesses and keeping the money in escrow and running something similar to ponzi schemes and then declaring bankruptcies and taking advantage of government loopholes to keep himself from sinking. 

He was a piss poor failed businessman who was always declaring bankruptcy,  an equally sleazy personal life. 

Trump had nothing respectful to his credit, he was never a man of his word, or any integrity, he had nothing to be admired for, to be respected for, there was nothing about his attitude or thinking, or skill that would be considered exemplary, he was just healthy enough to last long, he had money to blow as he wished, cronies to always coddle and help him because they always believed his narcissistic fake claims of success. 

The only art or skill that Trump ever had was narcissism. His continuous boasting would easily attract gullible followers. 

The Donald Trump story is no self made success story, only a story of a con man who used his skill of lying and boasting to the maximum effect to attract as many gullible people as possible. 

In essence, Trump would have never existed had it not been for the millions of people who simply chose to believe his lies and bravado. 

Trump's story is very much a story of the naivety of a nation. 


INFJ-T,ptsd,BPD, autism, anger issues

Cleared out ignore list today. 

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Jeppers! It's quite tribal in here isn't it? For the record I am not pushing at any narrative/side here if you cannot tell. I was all for the Bern, such rubbish how he was treated. 

I have merely asked a couple of questions and communicated a personal observation.

 

 

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