Breaking News: Major Combat Operations in Iran 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷

[zazen]

18 hours ago, LordFall said:

@zazen Let's be intellectually honest, you can call the US administration demonic pedophiles that seems fairly accurate but to call Ali Khamenei a spiritually revered leader is insane. He was a brutal dictator with 10% approval rating who just massacred tens of thousands of people. I piss on his image and memory and you trying to martyr him is shameful. He's part of the problem of egotistical men ruining this earth for us all with their will to oppress others. 

 

Both things can be true - I was just stating a fact that he is revered amongst Shia Muslims which is why even in Pakistan they stormed the US consulate etc - not that I revere him in any grand sense.

17 hours ago, Breakingthewall said:

Don't forget that the holy ayatollah, in addition to resisting the evil Jews, also massacred Sunnis in Syria to spread Shiism, and promoted violence in all middle east against sunnis

True as well - but I think its a stretch to say they want to promote violence against Sunni's in the ME even if that was a geopolitical outcome. Iran has a history of trying to be imperially contained by the West going back decades, and with the emergence of Israel in the region that has only complicated matters and required asymmetric proxy warfare as a by product. Iran has good relations with the region and normalized with Saudi etc - they frequently refer to their neighbors as brotherly neighbors including sunni majority Pakistan who they thank for having their back.

It's less sectarian and more geopolitical - not denying sectarian tensions exist at a social or street level, but states behave differently because they have a different level of responsibility and standards to operate on. It used to be that even in London for example a sunni guy once told me ''don't buy from that corner shop, he's shia'' utterly retarded. Now days I'm seeing sunni muslims say that despite differences they are against the downfall of Iran because its destablising to the region and because the West will gets its way ie puppet control and exploitation.

9 hours ago, LordFall said:

Whoever is currently in power has very unclear objectives, hard to say what they're trying to accomplish strategically besides lashing out. If you teleported me in the Iranian HQ I would be going the humanitarian route and getting the UN on my side going down the US and Israel are war criminals angle and getting international support.

UN has no teeth and Iran won't go the humanitarian route of laws when they're literally being struck by US/Israel lol as if laws will stop them. In all these years nothing could be done for Gaza with all the global support then nothing will be done for Iran which has much less support. 

Iran's objectives are clear - maintain internal stability and impose external costs on the US/Israel and it allies who may be able to influence them to pipe down. Hence the strategic hits on ports, radars, bases in the gulf and wider Middle East - blinding US/Israel from early warning, disrupting logistics and stretching the empire. Hence now needing to call in the European countries and UK providing US to operate from its bases - because ME bases have been hit and can't be used properly or at all in some cases.

Iran can't win decisively against the US (as its far away) but more importantly doesn't need to. This is asymmetric warfare where they simply need to make US/Israel operations of regime change (or Iran balkanisation and state collapse) extremely costly. It's like a porcupine (Iran) vs a lion (US) - make it painful.

Spreading the missiles to multiple locations simultaneously means draining the interceptors stock pile faster than if targetting at single location ie Israel. Iran hasn't even got out the big guns yet: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-28/iranian-missile-attacks-set-to-strain-us-interceptor-stockpiles

Like I'v said before and even two months ago - US needs a short campaign of shock and awe and to go in hard to seize the initiative - they clearly didn't do enough - they were hoping it would be as easy as Venezuela or that their initial blitz would rally domestic uprising to take over and regime change themselves. The window is now closing as the optimal time for street protests and storming of institutions would have been when millions were out on the streets - some celebrating Khameini's death and other mourning his death.

Like I said in my post above about Trump wanting and looking for a off ramp, the question is will Iran allow for it or continue up the escalation ladder pulling in an already desperate late stage empire into a quagmire - who are now locked into a war of attrition. Iran may want to take this chance to impose costs and strengthen their bargaining position in any future settlement - rather than stop early and have to face a stronger coalition later. That's the same calculus US/Israel had - contain Iran now before having to face a stronger Iran in the future.

They are shattering the US's halo of invincibility and straining its own relations with its vassal gulf states who are moaning about the US protecting Israel more than them. I just saw a video of 10 itnerceptors in Israel failing to take down a single Iranian missile which dribbled through to it's target like Messi.

The Epstein Regime gambled and are now in FAFO territory.

9 hours ago, LordFall said:

What was his prediction and what was it based on? 

Trump winning and attacking Iran was his claim to fame. His prediction is that Iran wants to lure the US into a ground invasion which they know will be deadly for them and end of the empire. Erik Prince from Blackwater has warned against this - the wider military establishment / Pentagon also warned Trump of engaging Iran which is why the delay and hesitation the past month.

Good thing about Jiang is he always says ''this is just my speculation'' but he sounds way too confident in his assumptions. In this scenario for example I wouldn't say its Iran's intention to lure US into invasion - but if it happens they are prepared. Some geopolitical anlysts overweight intent and grand design / control and underweight miscalculation. War is never that neat.

@Nivsch Stay safe man

 

Edited 8 hours ago by zazen

[Husseinisdoingfine]

From a Spiral Dynamics POV, this is an attempt by America to forcefully remove the BLUE government and force it into ORANGE.

 

 

Iran is not so blue as you’d think.

https://www.reddit.com/r/interestingasfuck/s/qZD19m6mKl

 

Edited 7 hours ago by Husseinisdoingfine

[Breakingthewall]

2 hours ago, zazen said:

because the West will gets its way ie puppet control and exploitation.

If a Muslim government collaborates with the West, as Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, and Morocco do, it's not so dramatic, is it? What is the need for people like Saddam, the ayatollahs, or Gaddafi to constantly challenge power?

Perhaps they seek the freedom of their people against the evil aggressor? Or could it be that they can't sleep thinking about the Palestinians they are expelling from their lands?

Perhaps, but it seems more like something else. Since they are dictators who have seized power by force and subjugate their people by carrying out massacres at the slightest sign of political opposition, anti-American rhetoric makes them appear as noble Davids facing the avaricious, hook-nosed Goliath, and thus their people, who have the mental development of an 11-year-old, love them and see them as legitimate. 

Sure, Gaddafi was in his right trying do displace the us dollar creating the dirham gold. And maybe Saddam was right launching scuds to Israel and invading Kuwait, but the point is that you frontally challenge the power, then what do you expect? Hugs? Or maybe that they say: oh well, it's their right, we are evil Jews and we should let them displace the dollar, because it's fair and our hearts are pure and noble, so justice is first, or interest is second, we are the Knights of the Round Table defending orphans.

Well, it seems the world doesn't work that way. Knowing it, declaring that Israel must disappear of the map and burning American flags every day seems good to fool fools, but bad for feed your people 

Edited 6 hours ago by Breakingthewall

[Lyubov]

Massive news. This is much bigger than when Assad was ousted by rebels. But also let the dust settle. Everyone wants to make their prediction but the truth is no one knows what will happen. As I understand Iran has a pretty nuanced line of succession (up to 4 backup plans) and their government has been designed and prepared for decades specifically for if this were to happen. Boots on the ground I think would be the only way to actually topple Iran's revolutionary guard and supreme leader. They're going to elect another one and continue their nuclear program. 

[Kid A]

So Trump and Hegseth apparently don’t even agree on whether they want regime change in Iran or not... To everyone affected by this: Relax. Clearly, we’re dealing with a higher form of competent leadership that knows exactly what it’s doing.