Breaking News: Major Combat Operations in Iran 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷

[Breakingthewall]

Most likely, the regular army will take command, displace the revolutionary guard, and there will be a regime change in a few days, and that this was planned from the beginning by Israel. It's the only logical possibility. Israel is not impulsive, they are smart as hell and merciless. And after this, the Arabs countries will recognize the state of Israel.

I'm not supporting Israel, I bet a lot that they allowed the 8 October to destroy gaza, then attac irán and then annex the West Bank and create Great Israel, completely eliminating the possibility of a Palestinian state. But when someone is Machiavellian and succeeds at this level, I can't help but have absolute respect for their courage and effectiveness, even recognizing that he's absolutely evil. That's how history is made.

[Nivsch]

18 minutes ago, Breakingthewall said:

Israel is not impulsive, they are smart as hell and merciless. And after this, the Arabs countries will recognize the state of Israel.

Before 2023 Israel mostly withdrew from territories. What is happening now wasn't pre planned.

Edited 4 hours ago by Nivsch

[Breakingthewall]

2 minutes ago, Nivsch said:

Before 2023 Israel mostly withdrew from territories. What is happening now wasn't planned.

I think it was, but we never will know it. 

[LordFall]

29 minutes ago, Breakingthewall said:

Most likely, the regular army will take command, displace the revolutionary guard, and there will be a regime change in a few days, and that this was planned from the beginning by Israel. It's the only logical possibility. Israel is not impulsive, they are smart as hell and merciless. And after this, the Arabs countries will recognize the state of Israel.

I'm not supporting Israel, I bet a lot that they allowed the 8 October to destroy gaza, then attac irán and then annex the West Bank and create Great Israel, completely eliminating the possibility of a Palestinian state. But when someone is Machiavellian and succeeds at this level, I can't help but have absolute respect for their courage and effectiveness, even recognizing that he's absolutely evil. That's how history is made.

According to AI that scenario is possible but less likely than a total war over the middle that lasts years. 

I hope you're correct but our guy Prof Jiang is much more pessimistic than you are. Next target according to him will be destroying the desalination plants of gulf state countries and leading to a mass chaos across Saudi Arabia and other big cities. Remember Shia muslims are only 10% of muslims 90% are the Sunni their enemies so for them a multi year chaotic war is the goal and prophecy of their religion. 

 

[zazen]

@LordFall nice share. I think Jiang is predicting worst case outcomes - desalination plant is a major red line.

Tbh this could spiral in multiple ways - a Kurdish insurgency is being armed and backed to do the regime change as we speak - probably as a alternative to boots on the ground which is simply catastrophic and which there’s little political will for.

This is problematic for Turkey as it could force them to intervene and stabilise their side the border.

It seems like if regime change isn’t achievable then regime implosion, chaos and balkanisation is the next best outcome - without care for the spillover affects of such a thing.

Looks like carpet bombing or “mowing the lawn” the same term they use in operations in Gaza as Sky News just commented on also:

Legend

How prescient was Khameini - look at what he says half way through the following about trusting the West and negotiations and note how old the video is:

 

Edited 3 hours ago by zazen

[Apparition of Jack]

Does anyone have any sources about what the US military itself / military insiders are saying about this war? I’d like to see what they’re saying first-hand 

[UnbornTao]

 

 

[Jirh]

Regime change is not urgently necessary, though strongly preferred and implemented on ground through a Kurdish proxy and opposition.

What's most necessary now is destroying Iran's ballistic and nuclear capabilities, and that can happen without ground invasion. It will just take some more time, as planned.

After that, Iran will be in a constant state of war with itself until the government collapses. And that can take years.

Edited 53 minutes ago by Jirh