Breaking News: Major Combat Operations in Iran 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷

[zazen]

@Elliott what do you think about Shahid Bolsens theory around this war - commented above replying to Jodi. As your from US? Do you think the state is captured to that degree where it’s the biggest money dictating its foreign policy ie the financial elites who want a stable investable Middle East - that this war is just a operational purge of hardliners in the way of that plan.

Edited 12 hours ago by zazen

[zazen]

@Elliott 

This comment:

23 hours ago, zazen said:

 

Im really conflicted on Bolsens take on Iran and have for a while taken his views with caution - I’ve honed in on his core blind spot which skews his analysis.

It’s that the US state is totally captured by capital interest - thus any state action must have capitals hand behind it - leading to rationalise its actions around that fact.

And amongst differing capital interest the most dominant faction is the Financial elite (FIC) financial-industrial-complex - that has eclipsed and outgrown the (MIC) - military industrial complex which was the old faction dictating foreign policy and profiting of wars.

His logic is - that FIC want stability for investability - they profit more from stable (emerging - global south) markets. And because they are trans national (don’t care for their host nation from which they grew - US) they are partnering with the new centres of power ( GCC, China, BRICS ) who have the same vision of stability, prosperity etc.

Trump is assumed to be amongst that “new money” faction of elites - also due to his close ties with the gulf countries and family business ties. So he’s on board with the vision and overseeing the dismantling of US empire so that multi polarity can emerge - that this FIC will profit from and who are invested in it.

**

But now that war has kicked off - it needs to be rationalised. Hasn’t the US pivoted to the FIC’s plans and foreign policy which wants stability?

This is where he reaches IMO and becomes conspiratorial simply because of that core blind spot (US total capture by capital).

His theory is that insider pragmatists in Iran needed this war as a method to take out the hardliners in the way of reform/peace and stability. And that they are aligned on the vision but can’t come to peace due to these hardliners.

As if going to war is the efficient method lol it literally creates more hardliners “rally around the flag effect”. As if the new leader Motjaba was an inside man on the job and feeling pragmatic enough to make a deal after sacrificing his whole family.

I think the security state has its own logic, institutions and motives ie primacy of the US empire. Even if capital hollows out the nation state the empire state remains its own insulated domain that won’t be.

I think the security state has its own logic, institutions and motives ie primacy of the US empire. Even if capital hollows out the nation state the empire state remains its own insulated domain that won’t be.

Capital has penetrated the state but not totally captured it to the point it dictates every policy - it may influence sure - but ultimately the state has its own logic of strategic dominance. Hence why there is the national security strategy - talking of power, primacy and not just profit which Bolsen has totalised as the dominant logic and explanation behind all US behaviours.

Notice how he applies realism (states competing for security, power) to the gulf countries behaviours in Africa (Sudan, Somalia etc) but doesn’t apply it to the US - because he assumes the state isn’t its own actor - because it’s captured by capital who wants stability for investability.

All kinds of mental gymnastics need to happen to explain geopolitical events from that point on. Trump increasing military budget to 1.5trillion? That’s just for domestic policing and US’s own back yard - not the Middle East which is the future growth region the FIC are invested in lol

US doing sanctions, tarrifs, China tech containment - hurting capital interests - but I thought capitals captured the state Mr.Bolsen? Nope - they just clamped down on Anthropic for not following orders / which OpenAI did. State is the final authority - because they have monopoly on force - no amount of finance can become sovereign over - even if they can invest beyond the nation state itself.

 

It’s more simple (Occams razor) : Iran is being tackled now because it’s weakened+vulnerable, has been a long time target, Israel heavily influencing also for its own needs/wants, and multipolarity is challenging the US empire/dollar of which Iran trades outside of - but that Russia and China are too catastrophic to go to direct war with.

Empire acting like empire during a phase it feels it’s losing its primacy in - trying to lock down any interests it can to reverse a trajectory it can’t - and miscalculating due to hubris typical of late stage empires - now stuck in a quagmire Iran is going to drag it through to change the balance of power in the region.

**Side note: I think Sunni Muslims have a bias against Shia Iran - perhaps they can’t accept Iran is the defiant one with balls whilst their states are down or subordinate satellites - so they’d rather have the glory of US empire defeat leading to regional stability and prosperity via BRICS - be attributed to their own GCC elites and Western Financial elites in on the plan.
 

What do you think? Is it plausible the state is captured to that extent.. I’m not sure but I highly doubt it.

 

[Elliott]

18 minutes ago, zazen said:

@Elliott what do you think about Shahid Bolsens theory around this war - commented above replying to Jodi. As your from US? Do you think the state is captured to that degree where it’s the biggest money dictating its foreign policy ie the financial elites who want a stable investable Middle East - that this war is just a operational purge of hardliners in the way of that plan.

Any downturn in the economy means the party in power gets voted out. It's the electorate. Israel and middle east policy is to stabilize oil markets. I think this war is just Trumps doing, he lacks intelligence and his presidency is down the tubes so he's just throwing crap at the walls trying anything. Iran and Middle East were stable, there was no need for this, this is bad for Big Money. Big Money in the U.S. would oppose this war.

 

Investopedia

https://www.investopedia.com

Jamie Dimon Sees Overlooked Risk to U.S. Amid War in Iran

Mar 2, 2026 — Dimon said on Monday that, while the war may not aggravate inflation, there could still be consequences stateside. “You got to expect

Edited 12 hours ago by Elliott

[Elliott]

March 9, 2026,   "Wall Street traders are ill-prepared for an expected sharp 10% plunge in the S&P 500 triggered by the escalating war in Iran, JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s trading desk warned Monday, as oil prices soared past $100 a barrel and risks of economic stagnation loomed."

 

MarketWatch

https://www.marketwatch.com

JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon warns of a 'skunk' that could derail markets

Mar 3, 2026 — JPMorgan Chase Chief Executive Jamie Dimon warns the tepid stock-market reaction on Monday to the U.S. and Israeli attack on Iran 

 

April 8, 2024 

New York — The nation's most influential banker, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, told investors Monday that he continues to expect the U.S. economy to be resilient and grow this year. But he worries geopolitical events including the war in Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas war, as well as U.S. political polarization, might be creating an environment that "may very well be creating risks that could eclipse anything since World War II."

Edited 12 hours ago by Elliott

[Elliott]

Oct 29, 2024,

https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/global-trends/jpmorgan-chase-ceo-jamie-dimon-warns-world-war-iii-has-already-begun-mentions-china-russia/articleshow/114698642.cms

 

"The billionaire banker said that risk-management teams at his bank have “run scenarios that will shock you,” in terms of the possible economic implications of a global conflict that spirals out of control."

 

"

'Putin's war in Ukraine a grave threat'

Dimon pointed out that Russian President Vladimir Putin's war against Ukraine as a particularly grave threat.

"We have to be quite clear that we can't have a bad outcome there," he said. "We've never had a situation where a man is threatening nuclear blackmail," adding: "If that doesn't scare you, it should."

Dimon emphasized the need for cautious and proactive resolutions to avoid outcomes with far-reaching consequences on global economic stability and historical trajectories. In line with his concerns, Dimon said JPMorgan regularly assesses scenarios for global instability, cautioning that the possibilities could be shocking.

Dimon’s warnings align with other experts like Ray Dalio, who recently noted the increasing likelihood of a major conflict involving the US and China. Dimon stressed the importance of Western unity in addressing these threats for a stable and free future."

Edited 12 hours ago by Elliott

[Breakingthewall]

42 minutes ago, zazen said:

Do you think the state is captured to that degree where it’s the biggest money dictating its foreign policy ie the financial elites who want a stable investable Middle East -

Fortunately, this is the case. The alternative is that some crazy person like Trump, Hitler, or the ayatollahs would have real power, and that would be catastrophic. Real power is not held by an individual, but by a self-regulating system composed of individuals.

[Elliott]

I don't believe this will last, from the u.s. anyway, longer than 30 days. I think congress will stop trump come 30 days. Not certain about that though, and Iran may decide to keep going at Israel, they appear to have possibly decided that now. Two more weeks, I give it.

 

Edited 11 hours ago by Elliott

[NewKidOnTheBlock]

I think there may be some additional interest from an A.I. research standpoint fueling this war, and as it relates to the interests of the military industrial complex in the context of the worldwide race for AGI. Since it is confirmed that Claude from Antropic was being used to search for targets for all these rockets and bombs. Clearly US has been searching for a proper lab rats and they've found them. Seems like China and US are the only players in this particuliar game and it kind of is the most important game there is, regardless of how much you're skeptical of A.I. It is only a matter of time. Europe has no chance of ever catching up by this point so it's GG for us, we can only observe. And Russia is obviously backwards as fuck also with zero A.I. companies. As well as everyone else

Edited 8 hours ago by NewKidOnTheBlock

[Rafael Thundercat]

Woman football team punished by Iran Government for refusing to sing the National Anthem

 

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-06/iran-women-football-womens-asian-cup-state-tv-traitors/106425022

The freedom of woman is connected with the freedoom of all. 

 

 

[Elliott]

Semafor

https://www.semafor.com

Exclusive: Israel is running critically low on interceptors, US officials say

1 day ago — Israel informed the US this week that it is running critically low on ballistic missile interceptors as the conflict with Iran rages on

 

 

 

 

NPR

https://www.npr.org

NATO allies, China so far refuse Trump's demand to police Hormuz

17 minutes ago — Trump demands NATO and China police the Strait of Hormuz. So far they are refusing · Countries are not reacting positively to Trump's demand

 

You're murderers.

 

Edited 26 minutes ago by Elliott