PurpleTree

Latest Ukraine/Russia Thread

1,146 posts in this topic

What do you think about this clip from the show "Madam Secretary" from 2015?

 

Predictive programming, or what?

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

https://meduza.io/amp/en/feature/2025/10/09/putin-admits-russian-air-defenses-downed-azerbaijan-airlines-flight-last-year-killing-38
 

Pay attention: some of you were parroting typical brain rot conspiracy theory reasoning about how the West is responsible for whatever Russia does that’s cruel and awful. Typical brain rot denial about reasonable assumptions because it serves your stage blue right wing fear based biases. 

Putin has admitted his military downed that plane from last year. Probably because he doesn’t have as much geopolitical sway these days due to his country being weakened by the war he started. He needs to be far more diplomatic with his neighbors because he’s burned through a lot of trust and good will.  
 

Learn from this, next time you try to reach for a made up defense like a Fox News anchor 

Edited by Lyubov

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks innocent on the surface but can have major implications

“A Tomahawk missile is dual-use capable — meaning that while the U.S. versions being sent are conventionally armed, Russia can’t easily tell that from radar alone. From their perspective, when a Tomahawk is inbound, they have no way to distinguish whether it carries a nuclear or conventional warhead.

That uncertainty matters because:

Flight profiles look similar. Tomahawks fly low, slow, and stealthy, and can approach targets from unpredictable directions — the same as a nuclear-armed variant.

Radar warning times are minimal. By the time Russian systems detect a launch, there may be only minutes to decide if it’s a nuclear strike. That compresses decision time and increases the risk of miscalculation or panic escalation.

Command nerves. Russia’s nuclear doctrine allows nuclear use if it perceives a “decapitating” attack on leadership or command-and-control infrastructure. A deep-strike cruise missile attack could easily look like that.

Historical precedent. This mirrors Cold War fears during the Pershing II deployments in the 1980s — short warning times + nuclear ambiguity nearly triggered preemptive doctrines.

So yes — even a single conventional Tomahawk fired into Russian territory could trigger worst-case assumptions inside Moscow. That’s why many strategists call this a “stability-destroying” weapon in this theater: not because of its power per se, but because of the ambiguity it creates.

In essence, the danger isn’t the weapon itself — it’s how it’s perceived under pressure.“

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

China has called for banning all rare metal exports to western countries.
 

https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/10/chinas-new-restrictions-rare-earth-exports-send-stark-warning-west

There are plenty of stories and POV's on it if anyone needs more.

This is why its always been incredibly stupid to give China as much leverage as it's received over our economies. I have said so for a very long time now.  It's like we want to make life hard for ourselves, or rather, money is always more important than regulation far too often. Meanwhile, America has called for 100% tariffs on China, after they started all of this mess.

In Russian the economy still keeps tanking, four day work weeks are being normalised. Transport connections are failing, people can't get gas, and truck lines are queuing up. A true remake of the USSR's fall. 
 

 


I saw a great statement.
If a snail had started at the border of Russia when this war started, it'd be in Poland by now.

Edited by BlueOak

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

These new longe range missiles could maybe make Putin reconsider some of his objectives. He should have accepted Trump’s off ramp deal. We have been in this state of unknown since the beginning of this invasion and no one really knows how it’s going to end. I think at this point both sides see themselves fighting for a couple more years, then based on what they each have will agree to a deal. I don’t think these missiles will be some massive game change but they could maybe make Moscow take a peace deal more seriously. Really I doubt the line on the map will move much. It’s really a matter of getting Moscow to agree to a ceasefire with what they have and Ukraine getting security guarantees. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Both Ukraine and Russia will be very cold this winter.

Kyiv lost its power.
So now, as promised, Moscow has lost its power. Just for a few hours, but Belgorod wasn't so lucky again.
 


Will the Russians learn to stop firing at power plants? Probably not.

Edited by BlueOak

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!


Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.


Sign In Now