Leo's Blog Discussion Mega-Thread

[Leo Gura]

18 minutes ago, Sincerity said:

You can predict that something is likely to happen and then when it doesn’t, you can just say „well, even if there’s a 90% chance for something, there’s still a 10% chance that it doesn’t happen! So I guess this was the 10%!”. In this way, you can always give yourself leeway and never recognize your mistaken thinking.

Yes, of course epistemic perverts do exactly that.

That's why I avoid predictions. Predictions are for fools.

Still, you will see my Trump 2.0 predictions be very accurate. Some things are just as obvious as winter and summer.

Edited 11 hours ago by Leo Gura

[Nemra]

49 minutes ago, Leo Gura said:

Sure, depends on the work.

If you are just adding numbers all day, no.

What do you think about technical writing?

[Sincerity]

15 minutes ago, Leo Gura said:

Still, you will see my Trump 2.0 predictions be very accurate. Some things are just as obvious as winter and summer.

You predicted that WWIII happening is a silly idea. We’ll see how that holds up. 

[Leo Gura]

19 minutes ago, Sincerity said:

We’ll see how that holds up. 

See away.

[Leo Gura]

30 minutes ago, Nemra said:

What do you think about technical writing?

Your questions are too vague to have meaningful answers.

[Nemra]

16 minutes ago, Leo Gura said:

Your questions are too vague to have meaningful answers.

You said it depends on the job, and then I wanted to know if you think that the job I mentioned can develop one's rationality in a way similar to what you believe people with PhDs have developed.

Edited 10 hours ago by Nemra

[Leo Gura]

1 minute ago, Nemra said:

You said it depends on the job, and then I wanted to know if you think that the job I mentioned can develop one's rationality in a way similar to what you believe people with PhDs have developed.

I know. Too vague to answer.

Edited 10 hours ago by Leo Gura

[Nemra]

5 minutes ago, Leo Gura said:

I know. Too vague to answer.

Did you know what the job I mentioned is about?

[Leo Gura]

@Nemra Ask better questions.

[Nemra]

7 minutes ago, Leo Gura said:

@Nemra Ask better questions.

Let me rephrase it.

What do people with PhDs undergo that you think makes them grasp rationality?

You say you must have a PhD to grasp rationality, and then you also say it depends on the job if it's technical. So, I wanted to know how much practice I'm missing.

[Leo Gura]

2 minutes ago, Nemra said:

What do people with PhDs undergo that you think makes them grasp rationality?

Read MetaRationality.com

[Nemra]

8 minutes ago, Leo Gura said:

Read MetaRationality.com

Thanks. It's been on my mind to read it since it was mentioned here recently.

Also, do you think that source could help develop one's rationality significantly?

Edited 9 hours ago by Nemra

[Leo Gura]

@Nemra It will develop your meta-rationality significantly.

[Sincerity]

4 hours ago, Leo Gura said:

Predictions are for fools.

One thing I’d add is that I think making good predictions can be „wise” when your survival really depends on it. For example, if someone lived in Iran a year ago, it’d be useful to the person to have an awareness that US-Iran war is likely and therefore move someplace else.

I live in Poland. I’m not sure of this prediction, but I really think that the possibility of WWIII starting by 2028 is quite high, and it spilling over to Europe. Also, the anti-EU sentiment is growing in Poland and it’s unknown who will win the election in 2027. Germany might also shift in a far-right direction and align more with Russia due to the rise of AfD. Similarly with France. And the stability of the whole EU experiment is in question. And Putin/Russia is driving on the war economy. And your president is still a deranged lunatic.

Therefore, I’m making plans to move to a different country in the foreseeable future - best in a year - and I wouldn’t really be making these plans if the possibility for war wasn’t there. So it’s all based on prediction, but it’s my best intuition and I have to work with something.

This all assumes that the drive to survive is wise. So then making relevant predictions is wise. If it’s foolish, then predictions are also foolish. But I wouldn’t say they fully are.

You, for example, don’t need to make any predictions because you’re set on living in Las Vegas and the US. So in a way you have the freedom to not care about what happens, and not need to predict anything.

Or maybe, actually, your strongest prediction is that staying in the US is reasonable and that the changes taking place won’t affect you. In a way, maybe making predictions subliminally is inescapable. You always assess what’s best for you and how the changing world will relate to you.

I’m saying all this simply because I find the topic interesting. Just expressing my understanding.

Edited 7 hours ago by Sincerity

[cistanche_enjoyer]

12 hours ago, Leo Gura said:

I am after crazy levels of God-Consciousness. And I am after a deep embodiment of Love and selflessness

Are these two connected? Does embodying Love/selflessness help you reach higher levels of Consciousness?

[CARDOZZO]

13 hours ago, Leo Gura said:

I am after crazy levels of God-Consciousness. And I am after a deep embodiment of Love and selflessness. And very advanced cognitive development.

I don't know.

Not only that.

No. I have clear goals that I work on every day.

Mastery of Consciousness, Mind, Love.

Hope you document your journey to advanced states of Consciousness.

[CARDOZZO]

Wilber makes an interesting point:

Teach zen to PhDs until they have a satori experience. 99% of them will regard it as real.

The people who would most benefit from this work are engineers, scientists and PhDs. 

[Eskilon]

https://www.actualized.org/insights/actualized-quotes-484

“Once upon a time, I dreamt I was a butterfly, fluttering hither and thither, to all intents and purposes a butterfly. I was conscious only of my happiness as a butterfly, unaware that I was myself. Soon I awaked, and there I was, veritably myself again. Now I do not know whether I was then a man dreaming I was a butterfly, or whether I am now a butterfly, dreaming I am a man.” -- Lao Tzu

@Leo Gura You are a space kangaroo dreaming a Leo Gura. We solved it guys, where the thought came from!!

Edited 5 hours ago by Eskilon

[Nemra]

So, the person, David Chapman, who runs metarationality.com also runs

• meaningness.com
• vividness.live
• buddhism-for-vampires.com
• betterwithout.ai

His Substack: meaningness.substack.com

[CARDOZZO]

34 minutes ago, Nemra said:

So, the person, David Chapman, who runs metarationality.com also runs

• meaningness.com
• vividness.live
• buddhism-for-vampires.com
• betterwithout.ai

His Substack: meaningness.substack.com

Great share.