BlueOak

Russia's economic situation continues to get worse. Russia's population demographics get worse. Their stockpiles are gone. It takes very little land, in Sumy it was just repelled almost to the border again. Their casualty rates now with so little armor left to use are ridiculously high vs Ukraine. They use human wave tactics, its why they've had to reach out to places like North Korea for manpower. Russia vs Ukraine yes, that will always be true. (Thank you for acknowledging it most people just gloss over it) But this is now BRICS vs NATO to a much larger extent than you are acknowledging. China and NATO are using this as a proxy also, and that's the only reason its continuing. As to why nobody would do as you suggest, i'll requote myself below as it covers most of it. But you can add to the fact that obviously, people are calculating and watching that this is going to hurt Russia (and BRICS) more than help it. You cite some land gains, i'll cite that its falling into being a satellite state of China. Its economy bought up, Kamaz just failed, I mean the country is buckling, and although the citizens might well just put up with it, it'll never project real power again. Whatever you think of the above statement, that's the calculus: keeping Russia from puppeting Ukraine is better than allowing it to, else this war would not be continuing. Russia has repeatedly stated it wants control over all of Ukraine, like it had previously, it wants to project its power into eastern Europe and its not strong enough to do so anymore. - This is why this situation exists. Not because I dislike X or you dislike Y - because the practical reality is Russia is overreaching.

Possible false flag attack exposed - as people keep telling me 'how could this start' - 'Russia would never do that' and I keep saying any one of a 1000 ways, the method is largely irrelevant as tensions are that high. Russia being backed by BRICS means it can do that, it'll get Belarus levelled and Russia heavily damaged, but Putin doesn't care as the people are that suppressed. Also ballistic missile sources for the last post. - With the interactive map on their site as always. I also agree that India and China need to be sanctioned heavily at this point, and their efforts to support this proxy war for them halted as much as possible.

@zazen You keep talking like Russia is just asking for space and being ignored. That’s not what’s happening. Russia’s entire approach is to project fear, and that doesn’t earn respect from stronger countries, it gets pushback. If you focused on the countries that joined, and why, you'd come to that conclusion. Chat GPT examples from the last decade: Feb 2022 – Putin warns of consequences “you have never experienced in your history” and puts nukes on alert. May 2022 – State TV says the UK and Ireland could be turned into a “radioactive wasteland.” Jan 2024 – Medvedev threatens nuclear strikes if Ukraine hits Russian launch sites. May 2024 – Medvedev talks “fully fledged nuclear war” if NATO keeps supplying Ukraine. July 2025 – Medvedev brings up the “Dead Hand” doomsday system at Trump. End Quote This is Russian foreign policy mask off. Then they've got hypersonic missiles in Belarus, ditching the INF moratorium, and rewriting nuclear doctrine so even conventional threats matter. Intimidation is baked into their security policy. You frame NATO expansion like it was some arrogant Western move. When Russia’s spent centuries threatening Eastern Europe. NATO was created to stop exactly that. Countries lined up to join because they remember Moscow’s behavior, not because America forced them. Regional powers don’t get to veto who their neighbours ally with, that’s not security its trying to control other countries. By your logic Turkey could tell Armenia who it can talk to, I highlight that with the Azerbaijan-Russia relations deteriorating to show you directly Russia's regional power slipping. On Multipolarity, sure great theory. Russia’s 'multipolarity' is just an authoritarian bloc with China, Iran, and others keeping each other’s wars or expansion going. Russia believes it allows them to act like they used to. BRICS support isn’t neutral, it’s keeping the Ukraine war alive. Real multipolarity means sovereign equality. Russia’s version is 'we get our sphere' and everyone else accepts it. That’s not balance its replacing one unipolar arrogance with another. - Cue you saying how bad the west is right? Then I just point you to the mirror they are. If Russia wants space, it needs to learn how to live in that space without trying to dominate everyone in it. Right now it’s doing the opposite, and that, (and their weakening geo-political position) are why the neighbors you think should be neutral are running straight to NATO or China for that matter. For transparency. I told chat GPT to critique my own position. It told me that because you use statecraft, and I use debate imagery, I needed to bring more real-world examples and argue more along those lines to provide solid examples.

Everyone was complicit in destroying the middle class because they believed that hard work was the metric everything should be judged by. They still do. It isn't BTW, its results.

Well Russia is one and they won't be much different to China, North Korea etc. They'll die in droves for the state, either from threatening them or propaganda. The poster said it'll be impossible to convince people. I'm saying they are already ready to do so. If they mean it'll be impossible to convince a democratic country to attack another, no, i've seen it happen before. But it won't even need that it'll just need to be framed as defense. For example, I've seen the almost entire electorate weaponised against immigration and now in the name of economic benefit, which is such a farcical position I wonder if I am living in an alternative universe.

Russia did. Also Russia didn't care and sent them anyway.

As always, on many things, human consciousness remains the same.

Patterns repeat and are updated. Rarely does anything come into my experience that isn't part of an easily identifiable repeating pattern, so when it does, it's huge news. At the moment, the pattern is - Cold War with military build-ups. Bad economic situation. Far-right individuals or parties run most of the military powers. Rising fascist and nationalist themes within the population, demonization of the 'other' throughout it. Changing global dynamics leading to unstable geopolitical situations. China and India are rising, Russia and America are falling, etc. New weapons of war (drones) are changing the balance of power and giving other states ideas, as well as a general lowering the casus belli or justification, for wars. The usual response is war for resources, distraction, land, and influence. This is the pattern that has been repeated for thousands of years. Its just dressed up differently. There are off-ramps but in our current scenario, it requires something like the global superpowers sitting down and telling the world how the new order of things will now be, and then enforcing it. Even if this is done at arms length. That is China reigning in Russia, America reigning in Israel (another reason that war exists), and both powers mapping out how things will now work globally. BRICS and NATO competing does not lead to this outcome; it leads to conflict and war. Essentially a peace could be negotiated now without a hot war.

If progressives really are such a small influence on everything, why does it matter what they say or do? Like it or not, the left is the left. Its multiple voices not one singular voice.

The world is already at war, its just a cold war with small border conflicts currently. Both sides are trying to convince everyone that they are right. Organising chaos in other places wherever they can strike. If anything, Europe is sitting back too much, but gradually waking up bit by bit. Large build ups in Europe, especially Poland, but also Russian build ups in Leningrad and kaliningrad. People always go on about the US trying to ignore Europe but at this point its little to do with the US. It suits their narratives more I guess, but lacks any practical understanding of what's actually happening between THESE SIDE BY SIDE STATES. Also China has stated they are preparing ot invade Taiwan now. This is all going to happen together: Iran attacks Israel and shipping. China attacks Taiwan and shipping. Russia attacks the Baltics and Finland. Because together they have a shot and nobody's throwing nukes over that strategy, it'll be a conventional war. The only uncertainties to me are what happens when Belarus gets nukes, and what happens if Russia decides to nuke Ukraine. Because Belarus is going to be airstriked out of existence, and Putin may get angry enough that he nukes Ukraine. Also where India will stand in it (I guess BRICS economic support against NATO), and if Iran get nukes that'll be very bad in the current climate. *There is still a chance to avoid this but its not likely now.

Given we are on the verge of a major world war, this was israel's most likely method of avoiding conflict on their own soil. I loathed the approach, but i've accepted it.

Masculine. Leadership. Qualities.

Have you read the fifth agreement. https://fourminutebooks.com/the-fifth-agreement-summary/ When I was studying Almine and studying Toltec shamanism, it was in that realm. It works because you are what you focus on, and if you focus on love, you become it and essentially bliss out. But the unresolved things hit you in face, it energetically feels like that.

It suits their political agenda to ignore Europe completely. I've long since said this but nobody's interested because it would make their takes more nuanced and realistic, which would deflate some of their narratives naturally.

Yes. Its embraced socialist aspects that America villainise. We do so in Europe, somewhat, depending on the country. Instead, China villainises liberalism. If any point of the compass is vilified, the country suffers. Authoritarism Socialism + Capitalism Liberalism This is because they are balancing factors. *Western Europe villainizes authoritarianism and the UK demeans socialism, for example.