StaraX

Leo's amazing predictions

83 posts in this topic

In terms of AI replacing humans in a functional way - a lot of random hallucinated statistics have been put forth itt that are, as far as I am concerned, completely made up.

But a good contemplation question ~

"Does AI truly understand?"

We can't really ask this question without driving headlong into questions about consciousness and experience as it ties to our current understanding of "understanding" in a human way. And we cannot say that AI is NOT conscious, just like we cannot know anything else is conscious. 

You could argue a case that AI does understand if we manipulate what we mean by "understand" as it applies to humans. 

But then you are left with the problem: if we can argue AI does understand (with some alternate definition of understanding as it applies to non-biological entities) does this understanding translate to human understanding? And if not, replacing humans (and in particular intuition comes into this) will be difficult. 

Then you would have to deal with thresholds for human understanding in certain fields of work - and the point where AI "understanding" overlaps with humans capacity would be how much/where AI could actively replace humans (and by replace humans, a human job, I mean totally replace with no oversight by a human required). Something like data entry - easy to replace. Low understanding required. Automate-able tasks - low or no understanding needed etc. Analogous to a human "habit" in that automation is AIs equivalent to human habit.

If you argue that we don't even know wtf understanding is, or that we still don't know the mechanisms, it's going to be difficult to swallow any sort of AI replacing higher level tasks that require understanding, wisdom or intuition.

This is where we get to AGI, no?

Edited by Natasha Tori Maru

It is far easier to fool someone, than to convince them they have been fooled.

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21 hours ago, Leo Gura said:

If AI bubble pops, crypto markets will nose dive. Crypto will be hit the worst.

Sell your crypto before AI pops.

If AI pops, Bitcoin will go down to $20k, I predict. That is the perfect time to re-buy it. Although re-buying cheap tech stocks is even better.

Crypto has already nosedived. It's been going down for like 9 months while stocks have been making new highs almost every week. Risk assets tend to decline first and bottom first. So it's likely that BTC will bottom before stocks again, somewhere around 40k–45k.

Calling for 20k BTC is essentially saying it's going to fail. That's just not a realistic scenario.

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