The trump world order

[ArcticGong]

I have assumed that Trump and his administration has been dumb for years, until lectures like this one and other from Jiangs previous videos on game theory. 
 

Jiangs argument is pretty solid: the previous world order is unraveling, so, Trump may just speed up the process so that his people can gain from the chaos. With the strait of Hormuz being closed that makes  the world more dependent on America for energy, and a reset on the game might become profitable for the US. Furthermore, this is a blow to China which is a large importer of oil from the Middle East.

My dislike for Trump have always biased my analysis of his actions, but Jiang made me reconsider. Trump seems stupid but he might not be that stupid. I would not go as far as calling him a genius as Jiang suggest in this video. All in all, this series have been insightful and interesting so I highly recommend it.

[NewKidOnTheBlock]

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/french-owned-cma-cgm-container-ship-passes-strait-hormuz-data-shows-2026-04-03/

Seems like they already let a french owned tanker in though, just a day after Macron claimed that military operation to re-open the Strait of Hormuz is unrealistic, and that they'll pursue diplomacy (plus there are plans for military naval escorts for tankers once the hot phase of the war cools down). If Iran is this responsive to someone like Macron during a hot phase of the war, then I think eventually, it's possible they'll let European ships and tankers pass unbothered. In such a scenario, US wouldn't make a penny

[Apparition of Jack]

2 hours ago, NewKidOnTheBlock said:

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/french-owned-cma-cgm-container-ship-passes-strait-hormuz-data-shows-2026-04-03/

Seems like they already let a french owned tanker in though, just a day after Macron claimed that military operation to re-open the Strait of Hormuz is unrealistic, and that they'll pursue diplomacy (plus there are plans for military naval escorts for tankers once the hot phase of the war cools down). If Iran is this responsive to someone like Macron during a hot phase of the war, then I think eventually, it's possible they'll let European ships and tankers pass unbothered. In such a scenario, US wouldn't make a penny

Iran are playing 500 IQ chess while America is playing pin the tail on the donkey. It’s not even in the same ballpark.

Iran knows the West is war-weary. Iran knows their country is unconquerable and that any attempt to use more force against them is basically a suicide mission. All the cards are in their favour.

But instead of going all out and causing maximum damage to US assets / Israel / foreign shipping etc which would sour the world against them, they’re instead playing it relatively safe, using pressure (but not open destruction) to block the Straight of Hormuz, and making America / Israel trip over themselves as those two countries continue to flip flop on their stated goals and lose more and more troops in a war they’re not really sure why they’re fighting.

All Iran has to do is wait this one out. The longer it goes on the worse it looks for Trump, and the more other nations will be willing to negotiate. Say what you will about their government but from a strategic POV they know what they’re doing.

Edited 5 hours ago by Apparition of Jack

[jimwell]

His insights in that video were weak, and his confidence and persuasive aura failed to deceive me.

But as a whole, he is smart and interesting.

[LordFall]

Thinking that Trump is stupid is foolish. This is a cabal of highly strategic, motivated and organized people. If you can't understand their extreme objectives, like completely reshaping the world order or even destroying the US dominance for personal gain; doesn't make them less intelligent and organized. 

[Jodistrict]

Shahid Bolsen has been claiming that Trump is working for the owners and controllers of financial capital.  His job is to destroy the American Empire and transition America to a regional power in a multipolar world.   However, Trump is still stupid and not the brains behind it.  He has been selected for the job because he is a retarded psychopath and a good conman without a moral conscience who doesn’t care that billions of people hate him.