The AI crash is impossible - Change my View

[ZeldaStar]

On 04/03/2026 at 8:37 PM, Leo Gura said:

AI has not replaced a single serious coder.

As a serious coder I can confirm no one in my company or any serious engineer I know in my friend circle has been replaced, yet I've been hearing people scared about AI replacing them for the past 2 years 🙃

Edited 19 hours ago by ZeldaStar

[Lucasxp64]

 

[NewKidOnTheBlock]

10 hours ago, LordFall said:

Most predictions I've seen for AGI even from a few years ago had 2027-2029 as their timeline. Also depends what you mean by artificial general intelligence. Technically an AI agent is already sort of AGI right especially since now you can direct them for different purposes and they work 24/7. 

It's a little hard for me to believe that genuine AGI will be created in such early dates, but I have nothing really to dispute this prediction with. Just wondering if it's not more of a marketing tactic than reflective of an actual state of A.I., that's all. Reality tends to be more boring, complicated and messier than what is ussually anticipated. I think I'd rather believe it when I see it, and in the meanwhile I'll stick to a much more moderate predictions

[hyruga]

https://www.theatlantic.com/economy/2025/12/nvidia-ai-financing-deals/685197/

CoreWeave’s business model consists of buying up lots of high-end computer chips, and building or leasing data centers to house those chips. It then rents out those assets to AI companies that need computing power but prefer not to take on the huge up-front costs themselves. If this is straightforward enough, CoreWeave’s financial situation is anything but. The company expects to bring in $5 billion in revenue this year while spending roughly $20 billion. To cover that gap, the company has taken on $14 billion in debt, nearly a third of which comes due in the next year. Many of these loans were issued by private-equity firms at high interest rates, and several use complex forms of financial engineering, such as giving the money to newly formed legal entities created for the explicit purpose of borrowing on CoreWeave’s behalf (more on that later). CoreWeave also faces $34 billion in scheduled lease payments that will start kicking in between now and 2028.

The money that CoreWeave is making, meanwhile, comes from just a few intimately connected sources. A single customer, Microsoft, is responsible for as much as 70 percent of its revenue; its next biggest customers, Nvidia and OpenAI, might make up another 20 percent, though exact numbers are hard to find. Nvidia is also CoreWeave’s supplier of chips and one of its major investors, meaning CoreWeave is using Nvidia’s money to buy Nvidia’s chips and then renting them right back to Nvidia. OpenAI is also a major CoreWeave investor and has close financial partnerships with both Nvidia and Microsoft.

[Natasha Tori Maru]

6 hours ago, NewKidOnTheBlock said:

It's a little hard for me to believe that genuine AGI will be created in such early dates, but I have nothing really to dispute this prediction with. Just wondering if it's not more of a marketing tactic than reflective of an actual state of A.I., that's all. Reality tends to be more boring, complicated and messier than what is ussually anticipated. I think I'd rather believe it when I see it, and in the meanwhile I'll stick to a much more moderate predictions

I lean into this. Much more pragmatic take. 

Stripped down of inflated hype and dreams.

[LordFall]

9 hours ago, NewKidOnTheBlock said:

It's a little hard for me to believe that genuine AGI will be created in such early dates, but I have nothing really to dispute this prediction with. Just wondering if it's not more of a marketing tactic than reflective of an actual state of A.I., that's all. Reality tends to be more boring, complicated and messier than what is ussually anticipated. I think I'd rather believe it when I see it, and in the meanwhile I'll stick to a much more moderate predictions

What is genuine AGI to you guys? @Natasha Tori Maru

If we don't define the terms then all we can do is keep pushing the goal post further.