China may be moving on Taiwan

[Elliott]

Politico

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/03/15/taiwan-reports-large-scale-chinese-military-aircraft-presence-near-island-00829219

Taiwan reports large-scale Chinese military aircraft presence near island

2 hours ago — 

The ministry detected 26 Chinese military aircraft around the island on Saturday, with 16 of them entering its northern, central and southwestern Air Defense Identification Zone. Seven naval ships were spotted around the island, it reported.

 

 

 

Stars and Stripes

https://www.stripes.com

South Korea objects to US military moving air defense system to Middle ...

4 days ago — The Pentagon is moving parts of a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system from South Korea to the Middle East, according to unnamed

Edited 2 hours ago by Elliott

[Breakingthewall]

The real question is: what does China gain by invading Taiwan? Absolutely nothing. It's far more useful to threaten to invade Taiwan.

Taiwan is very useful as a tool to promote Chinese nationalism, maintain a narrative of injustice, and at the same time showcase pacifism versus the belligerence of the others. Then china can cross other lines that would be forgiven or directly not pointed because they are so offended by the Taiwan issue. Smart tactic.

Taiwan will fall to China like ripe fruit at the right time; for now, Taiwan is useful as a symbol. If china attack Taiwan it would be a proof that the Chinese government is emotional and stupid, and seems exactly the opposite. 

Edited 2 hours ago by Breakingthewall

[Elliott]

1 hour ago, Breakingthewall said:

The real question is: what does China gain by invading Taiwan? Absolutely nothing. It's far more useful to threaten to invade Taiwan.

Taiwan is very useful as a tool to promote Chinese nationalism, maintain a narrative of injustice, and at the same time showcase pacifism versus the belligerence of the others. Then china can cross other lines that would be forgiven or directly not pointed because they are so offended by the Taiwan issue. Smart tactic.

They host U.S. missiles. The same reason Iran hates Israel.

Quote

 

Taiwan will fall to China like ripe fruit at the right time; for now, Taiwan is useful as a symbol. If china attack Taiwan it would be a proof that the Chinese government is emotional and stupid, and seems exactly the opposite. 

The time is ripe, the u.s. is pretty defenseless right now, and the West has already isolated China out of trade. And this opportunity will end after midterms.

And if they take Taiwan now, they can take the Phillipines next blunder.

There is a global depression coming either way, China may see it as at least somewhat of a win that they can take.

Edited 1 hour ago by Elliott

[Karmadhi]

I feel like currently USA is overstreched with aiding Ukraine and also aiding Israel and the gulf on the war with Iran

Especially when it comes to air defenses which are getting used at an insane rate, higher than it takes to replenish them

I wonder if China will use this time to attack as USA's response will be limited

[enchanted]

 What is our justification for protecting Taiwan when we don't even recognize it as a country?