Con heo dien

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About Con heo dien

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  1. Actually I based my comment on newspaper articles and IT monitors. I am not looking for an IT job myself. I am not sure if I can help you, but I will send you a PM.
  2. I'd say the market for developers is currently very good. In Western Europe alone there are literaly tens of thousands of IT-related employment vacancies that cannot be filled. The future is unsure though. AI currently assists developers with all the boring coding stuff, which is nice. It's likely though, that AI will make big steps in the fields of advanced coding, design, analysis etc. Which will result in growing amounts of (laid off) developers competing for a decreasing amount of jobs. There will still be jobs and there will be massive new opportunities, but it's questionable if that is the case for a beginning programmer.
  3. Go to Kerala. It's cleaner, people are educated, laidback, friendly. Caste system is still in place, but it seems less strong as in some other states. Of course it's very traditional, so don't expect general equal rights. Food is super spicy, especially in the villages, spicier than in the North, Rahul 2paradox is wrong on this, but you can find non-spicy food. I would avoid the Megapolises, they are hell on earth in my opinion, even the rich parts, with some very rare exceptions.
  4. Indeed, but in the long run it was nearly inevitble that China and Russia would team up for confrontation with the West. China and Russia are fundamentally aligned. This war has perhaps only sped up things a bit.
  5. There are 2 seperate discussions here I think. One is the geopolicial playfield in which the West, Russia and China are taking care of their own interests. This one seems pretty obvious, the West wanting to add Ukraine to the list of allies and Russia resisting that. They both manipulate the hell out of each other and Ukraine. But there is also the discussion of the direction Ukraine wants to move into. My understanding is that you deny or downplay that there is a fear in Ukraine for Russia and that it is fabricated and manipulated by the West. Ok, the West indeed offers capitalism, neo liberalism, hyper individualism, democracy and that is exactly what the majority in Ukraine wants. What has Russia to offer to Ukraine?
  6. That's what super powers do - protect their own interest at the expense of the less powerful. But stating that USA has pushed Ukraine into wanting to become a NATO member is too simplistic. It's a love relationship from both sides. The Eastern European NATO members are very happy to be part of the alliance. Finland and Sweden are joining too. No doubt USA plays a role in all this, but the root cause cannot be manipulated. That root cause is a fear for Russia.
  7. I dont get why Maersheimer calls the West and more specifically USA stupid. From a geopolitical point of view, USA is clearly the winner in this conflict (so far). Russia has lost 100.000's of people, having no options to play a military role elsewhere, their economy is vulnerable, the ruble has plunged and they are facing a war which will go on for years. Their future looks indeed very bleak. At the same time USA is only using a fraction of it's BNP to keep this war going and suffering zero (or near zero) casualties. Plus giving a warning to China.
  8. I think culture plays a minor role. Ukrainians are not overly positive about Western culture, even in the part that has traditionally been more pro-Western. On the contrary - I'd say that Ukraine is culturally closer to Russia. Two more important factors that have made them look Westwards are 1) the deep fear for Russia that exists in Eastern Europe - resulting in the majority of Ukrainians wanting to join NATO + 2) the wish to strengthen the economy / reduce corruption (with the Baltics and especially Poland as shining examples) - resulting in the majority of Ukrainians wanting to join EU. But yes, the result is the same: Ukraine aligning with the West and Putin not accepting that.
  9. Perhaps, but personally I do not consider such scenarios. A nuclear war will mean either direct death or, probably depending on one's location, continue to live on an unlivable planet. What's the point of considering scenarios? Especially in a thread about possible economic decline
  10. I doubt this is true, but it also doesn't matter, MAD is still relevant There is no win-win here. Even in case of peace Ukraine will be in a terrible position. Also years of mistrust and rearmament will be our faith.
  11. According to this paper a German ban would likely cause a 3% GDP decline. Goldman Sachs comes to an almost identical conclusion. So that's less of a decline than the Covid crisis caused in Germany (4.5%). https://www.econtribute.de/RePEc/ajk/ajkpbs/ECONtribute_PB_028_2022.pdf
  12. It's quite a big town. According to international law Putin is indeed a war criminal, but the Western media is too quick to blame the Russian army for this. Serious investigation is needed first.