Newcomb's Paradox

[Stick]

Suppose you walk into a room with 2 boxes and a genie.
1 box has 1000 dollars no strings attached and the another is a mystery box. You can either choose both the boxes or only the mystery box.
The genie is a master predicter. It has predicted the choice of people before you 99.99999 percent accuracy.
If it predicts that you will take only the mystery box then the mystery box will have a million dollars. If it predicts you will pick both the boxes, mystery boxes will have 0 dollars.
Are you picking the mystery box only or both the boxes?
https://chatgpt.com/share/69af0231-cae8-800d-a3fe-751bbd9439e7

My tactic is to just shut up and take the mystery box to get a million dollars. But the question is much deeper than that. Could our intention in the present determine what we would possibly do in the past?

What is the awakened view on this problem?
If it was necessary to win 1001$, could we do it?

I would love to hear you guy's perspective on this

[Hojo]

How can we know the robot predict with 99.9999 percent accuracy?

When the person dosent even know?

If I just take the million dollar box and there is no money in it am I supposed to say oh the robot predicted me wrong? Or I lied to myself? Whos to say that? I dont understand how we can determine whether this robot is making accurate predictions. Since its not 100 percent accurate we cant have any idea.

I feel like the people who take two boxes go back to their original instinct when they said they would take the 1k.

But if the robot is 99.9999 percent accurate then there would be a huge number of people who didn't do that, that the robot predicted right still so going back to your instinct dosent matter.

And if all these people got nothing in the million after they changed their minds how are you to know the robot is predicting accurately?

This is just a nonsense paradox and not really a paradox at all. Just take the million dollar box and if there's nothing in it then say your robot is fkin trash.

Or only take the 1k box out of spite.

If you only take the 1k box then schrodingers cat fails the robot.

Edited 5 hours ago by Hojo

[vibv]

Assuming that the predictor is some kind of mythic super-intelligence and the goal was to maximize money, I just would pick the million dollar box anticipating that the robot would have predicted exactly that.

If I'm trying to be clever and rational by picking both boxes and using gaming theory, the predictor would have predicted that, too. So why make it complicated? I take the million dollar box and give the robot its win.