Crypto bottom potential again

[Dodo]

Bitcoin defended the golden ratio retracemnt and is moving upwards since the new year. My chart shows me potential of reaching 450k area, based on a trendline from previous highs.

No guarantees, just the value I get from my analysis.

Are you in crypto?

[Dodo]

Wow, really low interest it seems! Wonder what it will be when btc crosses 125k again

[Lucasxp64]

We are so deeply below the logarithmic regression band, this is basically free money if someone buys it now and waits 3 years, even if there might be some drawdown of 50% (which I find extremely unlikely, even paranoid, it seems to have a lot of upward energy consistently for years, the logarithmic regression band now is basically a law set into stone).

This is the strongest signal in crypto in my whole life, it's very strong the long-term for this point, the history of the bitcoin reliably respects those signals. Although as always, be careful with alt coins and using things like using "leverage".

I'm not sure what bitcoin prices will be like precisely, but I can say it's a strong buy right now.

DIAMOND HANDS.

 

 

Edited Monday at 09:01 PM by Lucasxp64

[Lucasxp64]

Which alt-coins do you think have the best risk-benefit ratio? I always found BNB solid, because obviously, it's used inside of Binance so it has an actual use case, specially when the a new crypto frenzy comes.

[Dodo]

@Lucasxp64 nice chart! Here's mine, sorry operating from phone so low quality. Shows target of 450-468k. Who knows, might even break out there. 

 

 

I am currently buying ADA, LINK and SUI.

[Dodo]

Ada and Link have potential bottoms against XRP here, which means explosive moves might be incoming against dollar, if they gain against giant xrp

[Lucasxp64]

Holy Cow.

I think your fibonacci matches my analysis.

Quote

Near future and near past: (2026 Jan 05):

- Bottom: 48k (can't possibly go lower than this for too long)

- Mid: 84.4k (our current bottom support since Nov 2025)

- Top (for nearest future): 205k

---

2027: Bottom 69k, Mid: 124k, Top: 258k

2030 Bottom: 182k, Mid: 381k, Top: 446k

It's a very fair buy right now at 93k , even if the market crashes down to 48k as the bottom, that bottom will move slowly by 2030 into 182k even in a very bearish bitcoin, unless some crazy macroeconomic change happens like the AI Companies manage to reach Artificial General Intelligence, or some nuclear war hits (but I'd guess if it hits people would flee into crypto to move money across borders).

Someone can still screw themselves if they buy the top of this bullrun at 205k it might take another 5-10 years to recover as bitcoin has more market capitalization, it's becoming more stable. But it will also depend on macroeconomics, it seems like AI Stocks might be the current bubble and once it pops people might move hard into crypto, it would be a perfect storm for a bullish crypto.

Do you see that the peaks of each bullrun goes two levels down in the rainbow? It matches exactly your targets that you found using fibonacci instead.

Here is an updated version (fitted for the past couple of years as new data) of the logarithmic regression band.

This chart still shows a possible drop of 50% at worst/best like my other chart predicted to the green line there, but that green line which is our bottom today will be the the current price bottom 2 years from now, the top is around what you said.

The rainbow version lost is kinda old.

Here is the new indicator link: https://www.tradingview.com/v/W0QDu7DM/

 

Very berish video for someone wanting to use BTC itself to get rich. Of course, it won't give 100x gains from here, that's macroeconomiacally impossible. The key are in taking calculating risks on altcoins, but it can be part of a good portfolio with managed risk.

 

Edited Monday at 11:23 PM by Lucasxp64

[Dodo]

@Lucasxp64 i fully believe we are going to 450k this bull run, now, this year. And maybe we break through and continue with the momentum, or.. bear market from 450k. Probably good to take some profits there, but still, I wouldn't sell everything!