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Everything posted by Hardkill
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Oh....Well, a lot of economists say it was too much and some others say that it wasn't. I guess we'll just have to wait and see if the economists ever come to enough of a clear consensus on whether or not the stimulus package did contribute to excess inflation. Though, I am inclined to believe that $1.9 trillion was too much, and that the ARP should've instead been about $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion. Yeah, that's pretty much what I believe. True. Fortunately, inflation expectations are still well anchored. Overprinting and having interest rates too low for too long makes inflation worse.
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Conservatives and centrists say that inflation has primarily been caused by persistent overheating of the economy, while liberals and progressives say that the economy is primarily caused by the supply chain crisis and corporate profiteering. Is one side more right than the other or are both sides correct?
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Yeah, that’s what almost all of the economists have been saying lately. Top Economists including Larry Summers, Jason Furman, Jeremy Siegel, Mohammed El-Erian, Ken Rogoff, and some others like them urged the Fed back in 2021 to start raising interest rates and quantitative tightening then. Professor Siegel says the Fed should’ve started their whole tightening process around Spring 2021. Even Nobel laureate economist Paul Krugman and Secretary Yellen, who is also a top center-left economist, both admitted last year that they were wrong with the assessment they made in 2021 about the inflation issue being completely transitory. They now believe that it’s both the economy having been both overheated by the government and having been negatively affected by the supply chain issues over the past couple years. It's also because of the bad luck we got with the whole War in Ukraine. Btw, some of those above mentioned economists and others like them also said that the $1.9 trillion ARP stimulus that the Biden admin and the Democrats in Congress passed in March 2021 was too much. Do you agree with that? What’s your take on corporate profiteering and price gouging contributing to inflation?
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Hardkill replied to Victor van Rijn's topic in Society, Politics, Government, Environment, Current Events
That's why every successful business, particularly every big corporation, always has its own team of lawyers constantly advising and discussing with their bosses the legal implications of everything their businesses do. -
It started all the way back to basically the beginning of the Gilded Age, which spanned the last three decades of the 19th century. The Republican Party during this period began to no longer become the party of Lincoln or Grant. They believed that they already had done enough reforms for blacks and other minorities throughout the country and that it was time for them to focus much more on building the nation's economy and businesses. Although around the beginning of the 1900s came the early 20th century progressive era of politics, and Teddy Roosevelt and his followers during the 1900s decade made the Republican party become liberal/progressive again. Unfortunately, by around the late 1910s to early 1920s, progressive era came to an end and the Republican party ultimately trended back towards conservatism. In fact, this was end the GOP decided that they would be the party of big business. The reason the progressive era ended was because most of the people in America by the late 1910s/early 20s finally got tired of progressivism and the enormous amount of changes that the government had already made to the whole country for approx. two straight decades. There also was a lot of racial/ethnic backlash that occurred throughout the whole country because so many of angry white male protestants throughout the whole country who became very upset with the massive increase in immigrants and the growing population of black and brown people that was occurring during the early 1900s. By the mid 1900s, the Republican party did become much more moderate after the Great Depression for a period of time. However, by the late 60s to early 70s, the Republican Party resumed its devolutionary process: Finally, Noam Chomsky explains how after the civil right era, the GOP came up with the idea of starting culture wars and appealing to the American people's conservative cultures values as a way to distract the general public from essential policy issues, but still being able to win over their votes. That way, the Republican Party would be able to elect more and more pro-business conservatives into office would be able to enact all kinds of handouts and tax cuts for the rich and corporations. They would also be able to appoint and confirm more and more pro-corporate judges who would rule in favor of the rich and corporations. Finally, by the late 80 to early 90s that's when the Republican party accelerated their shift towards right-wing extremism as explained by Vanderbilt University historian, Nicole Hemmer.
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I decided to create a mega thread on how the Republican Party devolved over time from the party of liberalism, progressive policies, higher principles, and economic intervention to a party of radical right-wing views, reactionary policies, shamelessness, and economic irresponsibility. I will be posting videos on here that provide different sources excellent of in-depth explanations in chronological order with some of my own commentary pertaining to each of the vids how the party change over time from the mid 1800s to present time.
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Hardkill replied to Victor van Rijn's topic in Society, Politics, Government, Environment, Current Events
I actually asked him this question on another thread about 2 years ago: However, I now can tell you why in my new thread: -
But what about mobs that led to necessary and successful revolutions throughout history like the English Civil War, the French Revolution, the American Revolution, and the Bolshevik Revolution? Or where those things not same as mobs?
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I don’t get why the right wing actually waited until Lula got sworn into office to storm the whole government. I mean I am glad they didn’t, but from the viewpoint of logistics and timing it doesn’t make sense.
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I too hope that the police and the rest of the innocent people down there will be okay.
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Yes, Florida indeed has become lost cause for the next several years. Unfortunately, significant parts of rust belt has unfortunately been slipping away from the Democrats hold since 2016. However, the sun belt (except for maybe Florida) appears to be a future Democratic stronghold. Did you check out my thread "The Sun Belt in America turning blue is inevitable" in this section of the forum?
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I know.... Maybe 10 years from now it could shift back toward blue?
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My thoughts and prayers go out to him and his family. I really hope he pulls through.
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Hardkill replied to Victor van Rijn's topic in Society, Politics, Government, Environment, Current Events
What about you? -
What is he afraid of?
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I get that he's not really a right-wing extremist and that he's a moderate conservative. So, if his views aren't that far to the right, then why is he going off the rails with all of his talk about the importance of conservatism, particularly when he is not even a politician or a political activist or a top expert in political science? I mean it's one thing to discuss about your own viewpoints and ideologies, but why he is bothering to try so hard to get his opinions across the world?
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I don't understand why Jordan Peterson thinks that what he's doing and saying is worth the risk of undermining his own career.
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Andrew Tate has the very same stage Red/stage Orange traits that Donald Trump has. But it sounds like he has had a history of much more physical violence than Trump. He also probably has fake stage Blue traits, given that he’s probably been pretending to be a new practicing Muslim.
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https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/house-speaker-leadership-vote-1-4-23/index.html https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/01/04/us/house-speaker-vote https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/01/04/house-speaker-vote-live-updates-kevin-mccarthy/ The New US Congress was just sworn in yesterday and the House GOP are off to a very embarrassing and comical start.
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https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2023/jan/05/house-speaker-vote-republicans-kevin-mccarthy
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I hope you're right and that it's not too rosy of a forecast for me.
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I am going to be 35 years old tomorrow.
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I've feel like I've maxed out on practically everything I could possibly do to improve my game as far as possible. However, I am beginning to wonder if I am getting really close to hitting the ceiling, as if I am no longer able to significantly improve my level of game no matter how much I try or what new thing I try. Sadly, I do have Asperger's and as I've mentioned before in many of the previous posts I've made on here, for years I've tried meeting girls at all different kinds of places and learned from many of best dating/seduction gurus out there, constantly asked advice on many different seduction/pickup forums, watched and applied what I've learned from Leo's "How to Get Laid" series, done online game like crazy, etc., etc., etc. I ultimately got laid with less than 10 reasonably attractive girls and one girlfriend I was with for years before she broke up with me. I am going to be 35 years old very soon and I am very worried about the possibility of not being able to improve my game anymore because of the fact that my brain was never wired for social adept person given my genetic limitations.
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So, how does one stay hopeful that one day I'll get a job that I'll be able to keep for life?
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How do you know for sure?
