Hardkill

She was not bad. Though, what I don't get is why Trump still wasn't muted enough during this debate.

Btw, do any of you guys think that voter turnout is going to be greater or lesser than it was in 2016? Will there be a lot more people who want to vote this year for both the presidential and congressional elections compared to the amount who actually voted in 2016?

This speech was truly inspirational. I really miss him as our active president. I think that this speech had to significantly help Biden in some way.

I guess the Ralph Smart thread took too much attention away from my thread.

Yeah, I mean obviously I have a certain degree of bias towards Biden, but I agree that Trump pretty much blew it again with this debate. Neither stood out phenomenally well with regard to optics; however, I really thought had better optics than Trump because he not only had much stronger argumentative points with regard to policy, substance, and sound logic, but also because Biden seemed much more rational, measured, and believable than Trump. Also, I think that Biden had a lot more effective counterpoints than Trump had.

I see. I guess neither one particularly stood out over the other in terms of engagement and frame control. However, Trump as usual and unlike Biden, spewed about tons of lies with faulty logic.

Oh yeah, he definitely does. Now, what do you think about how Biden and Trump are doing from an optics or charisma point of view?

I think Ralph Moron sounds better.

This guy must be some kind of freak and fool.

True. I guess that's because the commission forced them to be.

So, I am guessing that this debate doesn't really matter to anyone.

I love it! I am proud of Borat!

Oh yeah, I see what you mean. Actually, I think that's what both the TYT and The Hill/Rising political analysts, pundits, and commentators were saying regarding Trump's tremendous losses in both female suburban voters and white voters.

I see. So, a very large sample may not matter much if it isn't relevant enough to what you're trying to forecast. You're also saying that it doesn't sound like his methodology has been peer-reviewed well enough. Correct? Btw, in relation to blacks for Trump, it seems that Trump has been gaining more support from blacks than he did for the 2016 election. It's the same thing that going on with the increase in Latino support that Trump has gotten compared to the last election. This why I am actually concerned that Biden hasn't been getting as much support from both African-Americans and Latinos nationwide, especially amongst young or younger African-Americans and Latinos nationwide.

Recently, it seems that Trump has increased his support from minorities, including both black and latino voters, after working very hard on influencing a significant number of them to support and vote for him. For example, Trump pardoned that African-American female criminal justice reform advocate Alice Johnson after she served 21 years in prison. On the other hand, they say that Biden’s average leads with both black and latinos are significantly lower than Clinton’s around this time four years ago. How much do you guys think this matters for Biden? Does he have enough support from minorities?

Yeah, you make a valid point. Though, what about Stantic saying that his lab’s analysis has a significantly larger sample size than any of the opinion polls?

Lmao. This is totally comical.

Oh yeah, Trump has zero morals. I actually sympathize with Hunter. It seems like he has already had his fair share of difficulties with his own life.

Alright, well sounds good to me. Thanks.

I fully agree with the idea of having a socialist/capitalist hybrid system. In my opinion, it is the best system that so far exists in our world. Don't some countries like the UK have that kind of hybrid system too?

Yeah, I am actually anxious to see his result (though I do believe that he will very likely be right).

This may be a stupid question, but do you think that one day in the future there will be ex-convicts out there who will actually have a real chance of winning a future presidential election?

Yeah, that's why I don't like FoxNews at all. However, what about that article I linked underneath the Norpoth vid that discusses the prediction of this data guru/professor Bela Stantic, who also thinks that Trump is going to win again? He said that "his lab’s analysis is more reliable than opinion polling, because it involves a significantly larger sample size." He also says that "people also tend to be more honest when expressing their opinions on social media than when a pollster quizzes them." Furthermore, he said that he finds Biden to be surprisingly more polarizing than Hillary after analyzing the comments on Biden's social media posts. Furthermore, this data guru correctly predicted the 2016 US election, Scott Morrison’s win last year, the Brexit vote, correctly predicted last 7 Melbourne cups, and a number of past major events correctly. This really worries me even more than Norpoth's prediction. Here another website for the same article on Bela Stantic and his 2020 presidential election prediction that I just posted before: https://www.news.com.au/technology/science/us-election-data-guru-bela-stantic-reveals-donald-trump-is-on-track-to-win-again/news-story/cc04c8525c3046c2387092d2cfaafa38

Yeah, I didn't get why he did not include polls in his "model." However, he seems confident that he is right because he has correctly predicted five out of six elections since 1996. He further claims that his model, which he curated in 1996, would have correctly predicted the outcome for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced.