BlueOak

What you've just said is programming the mind for success.

This is of course a lie however

There isn't much longer left for Russia. If this is victory I don't want to see what their defeat looks like! Holding Russia here in these regions was NATO's entire goal, draining them of their ability to fight until they could no longer do so. I've said this for years. I said at the start Ukraine would lose land, and a year later when the pattern was obvious, Russia would drain itself until it could no longer continue. They funded this by using up their savings and now overleveraging themselves through debt, selling their gold reserves, removing all their countries' future wealth and overleveraging bonds. They've spent a generation to gain ruined cities and dead lands, but its going to take 2 generations to get them out of the hole. I can drop source after source, the first one is by a Russian economist who used to live there telling you that. But let's define what not much longer left, actually means. There are a few obvious end state scenarios for both countries. Russia: Puppet of China. The most likely outcome. This would leave Russia whole but largely beholden to China. This seems to be the current pattern, and as patterns rarely change, I would guess this to be the final outcome. Russian Oblasts break away—possible if things get bad enough. When people can't eat they tend to rebel, no matter the level of suppression. This is more likely in provinces like Dagestan, Chechnya, and Georgia, and possibly Siberia, where all the wealth comes from. As fewer men exist to keep order in lands that have seen massive losses both in terms of population or economic problems, and more are just killed off in Ukraine this becomes more likely. The Russian recession grinds them into nothing. As oil prices are the lowest they've ever been relative for a long time, more people are producing, and less people are needing oil, they are screwed long-term. They've blown off both their feet with the amount of debt they are incurring; it could just be the Russian recession ends all their imperial ambitions for the next few decades. (Depends how greedy the Americans become in doing business with them post war). A quick coup. Clean, efficient, new name, same old story. Quite likely this one too. Putin is old so its going to happen eventually anyway, and it always happens when a war goes poorly, as this one has. The 3 day war becoming several years and if it continues to its conclusion, it'll have cost them 2 million in casualties, many of the wounded will have PTSD and be crippled, and it'll carry that also, along with the absurd amount of criminals or sociopaths re-released into society, etc. Ukraine: Independent Guarantees. Holding the Russians in the provinces, and draining Russia so much it cannot continue to push, but continually threatened by further war in the decades ahead. Quite a likely end point, it depends how seriously their security is taken by those entering defense aggreements with them. Part of the EU. A somewhat likely scenario as America descends into a dictatorship and authoritarian state. The EU is taking more and more control over its military, forming an EU military that doesn't need America at all. Ukraine could enter this if its in the EU. Part of NATO. Highly unlikely now but a possible long term alignment. I think it would be more quickly trigger new hostilities, but Russia always attacks; that's the way they operate. Until they can be either broken up or they change their way of interacting with their western neighbors. On territory: Ukraine has repeatedly said they will negotiate territory but Russia wants UKRAINE and the BALTICS. (All former USSR territory, places like Georgia and Moldova etc). There is no negotiation with them. There is stopping them on the battlefield and killing off their ability to push further. That's all that will ever exist. Russia will use up 2 million men to take these territories and will end up in a hole so big (it already is) they'll be done as we've known them. Security guarantees are the only way to try for a lasting peace. Force to stop Russia's forceful expansion. That's all that will keep them in check, that or their country breaking apart to free the provinces the Muscovites leech off of. On the US: Much as I hate the direction the US has taken. Russia invading ukraine, is Russia's responsibility, nobody elses. The death toll is entirely on them. To this day, people being unable to accept the responsibility for their own actions or trying to pass it off to others boils my blood. The Russians make a professional habit of it, drinking their problems away and blaming the world. Minsc Accords, a quick GPT Summary: 1. What the Minsk Agreements were The Minsk I (September 2014) and Minsk II (February 2015) agreements were negotiated to halt fighting in eastern Ukraine and set out measures including: A ceasefire and withdrawal of heavy weapons, OSCE monitoring, Restoration of Ukrainian control over its border, and Political/democratic steps in Donetsk and Luhansk within Ukrainian law. Wikipedia 📌 2. Russian violations during implementation Independent analysis shows Russia violated several key elements of the agreements in practice: ➤ Militarily and security-related violations Russia maintained military involvement and support for separatist forces in Donbas — contrary to the spirit and language of the ceasefire and withdrawal provisions. Analysts note the presence of Russian forces and equipment, which the agreements were designed to remove or demobilise. Atlantic Council Ceasefire violations were frequent, and OSCE monitoring reports regularly documented breaches, many attributed to Russian-aligned fighters. Wikipedia ➤ Political/legal violations Russia’s 2022 recognition of the so-called “independence” of the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics (DPR/LPR) directly contradicts the Minsk agreements’ goal of reintegration of these areas under Ukrainian sovereignty. Multiple expert sources state this act killed off the Minsk process. EUvsDisinfo+1 ➤ Russia’s own statements In February 2022, President Putin declared that the Minsk agreements “no longer existed,” explicitly rejecting their obligations.

Japan moves missiles on their islands to cover Taiwan, and their own islands in the area. After rising tensions, ongoing threats from China against Japanese islands, and Japan stating they'd intervene in any threat against Taiwan. One of many Chinese: China South Sea expansion plans, moving their vessels into other countries' waters and pushing us closer to a larger war.

This ones been good to me.

As Russia goes off the cliff, and China moves in on Siberia. Konstantine was always a steady proponent of Russia's economic trajectory; he avoided saying "collapse," as other youtubers did. Because to him, a collapse in Russia would mean no money for food, as an example, not some minor inconveniences. He has always said that future generations will pay for Putin and the KGB fossils wars, and stayed steady on that view. Overall Prep for World War 3:

With this one, life's been on an upward trend. It doesn't magically wave a wand and boom everythings perfect. I think many people expect a miracle, but it's just life but working out better than usual. I have the framing for reality that all is mind, so if the mind is being taken care of, generally life works out better than if it wasn't. Subliminals, when you find one that works for you, have the benefit of directly influencing the mind and thus the reality. If you were to picture a journey, but on that journey things are generally going better because you've got good food, that's about the closest point of reference. You still drive, pick the stops, and life still has all the framing of it, but it just works out better. Which is the point of this one I guess! An inner voice tuned badly is probably the biggest impediment to things moving freely. And this one addresses my need to see confirmation of a success.

China's usual provocation is barely worth a mention but its a potential flashpoint as Japan has ordered their troops to be ready, and Taiwan is entering a greater state of readiness for 2026, which is when the invasion is predicted to be. If it happens so is WW3. 2026 - 2027 (Though you might suggest we are already in a world war state) China's stoking of nationalism on the small, everyday level I guess if China is grabbing Taiwan and the south China Sea, Russia Ukraine and the Baltics, Israel, Iran, America and Turkey Syria, Then Greenland is just another target in the US's mind: The thing is Europe needs the US against Russia and China, so this might be the price: to accept American land grabs. Until it gets its act together more and forms an EU military. Map Source for the Syria Flashpoints: It's worth keeping an eye on: https://syria.liveuamap.com/

I guess I hit pretty close to the mark with that outburst. As a reminder. My point was people hate the democrats. Which you've failed to address in that entire response. Other than to say we don't need them and then proceed to insult people who don't vote for your party. Wild oddly claiming they are the ones acting entitled (nice projection again) Then add 500 things I never said to respond to. Even the slightest change in messaging, which would take barely any effort, you are resistant to. Talk about stuck in your ways.

Okay. Its almost unbelievable you are unable to see this, but i'll assume you can't. And because you can't i'll apologize for my earlier assumption. America hates your political parties. People have lost faith in your political parties Yes the democrats are winning, that's the point! They are doing it while people hate them! Nobody is saying the republicans are winning. The economy is tanking yes, for the entire world as we splinter up into warring parties. Some countries are crashing harder than others, Iran and Russia for example. People hate the Democrats; they are just less hated because during an economic crisis they are not in charge. Its got absolute nothing to do with the democratic leadership or their brand. They have failed to modernise, fail to appeal to any popular vote, and rode the status quo out till it suited their interests. (While people still hate the status quo) It would take but one change of strategy to have vastly more appeal to the voters. To appear like the change party. *I fully stand by my statement; if your opponents had the ability to adapt and were not too old to change their angle, some degree of intelligence, and even if an actual dictator was running, you'd all be cooked.

Ah I see you are trolling. Carry on. Here let me try: America is in great political shape, best in years. One decently competent dictator and you are all cooked.

Projection? How is posting a poll coping? Yes. That's how fragile democracy is. That this is the winning number.

Sadly India already covered this in its own news: https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/russia-india-military-logistics-pact-relos-signed-glbs-2836418-2025-12-15 India is allying itself with Russia, it is not a neutral party. @Ajay0 Its no different to any other larger power; its picked a side. The one thing I respect about Russia/China more than India is that it's not pretending to do one thing while doing another.

Yes. They've grown a spine, its good to see. Putin's threatened war for the 100th time today because other countries want to control their own borders with Kaliningrad. Russia just doesn't get it. They don't get to tell others what they can do with their own borders or where those borders are. They have to learn, it might take a war with China (because Russia is on the ropes) to teach them it, or they might gain some sense and not waste a generation to learn it.

@zazen High rightwing and Russian bias there. I got 10 mins in and had enough. People confuse ideologies all the time but the vast majority of people I speak to don't confuse nationalism with nazism. That's just nonesensical. That's why there is such a backlash against councils taking down flags in the UK. Breaking Russia up into smaller states carries considerably less risk than having a giant aggressive nuclear power fighting a war against us. Yes millions of lives suffering, because PUTIN is invading UKRAINE. We are doing anything to prevent war, we are trying to keep it in Ukraine, Putin knows this so he's started to try to provoke the EU. Ukraine is achieving a victory, Russia is falling apart slowly. Manpower alone does not win a war. Ukraine has chosen its own security guarantees; it has chosen its economic alignment. It will not get to choose its borders, they already know this though and have conceded it. The front line has been very slow, done to bleed Russia dry. Everyone did not say Ukraine would win, nobody expected them to last a month. He's just lying straight up here to create a narrative. Russia is performing better LOL that had me howling. They send waves of people on bikes and donkeys into drone fire. They creep forward so slowly that a snail would have got into Poland by now, and they are still in Donbas fighting over cities they were a year ago. To be honest this guy is so far off he's a Russian plant. Nobody in the EU wanted a war. Nobody thought this war would happen. Russia is provoking them, its the aggressor, it won't concede a thing, and frankly i'm fed up with Russian apologists who lie lie all day for Russia. I watch the movement on the ground daily, and these guys live in a paid for Kremlin fantasy. If a greater war comes from this, it'll be China's choice. They will have started this round of violence.

How would invading the country next to you, make your own government less likely to be overthrown by an external power? It would seem to just create more enemies and chaos, making it easier to be overthrown.

Sorry for killing idealism a bit. It gets easier, if you can avoid hitting the nihilism many do. Life still matters, people (and animals) are about the only thing that does. (Hence why war is abhorrent and needs to end).

Oh totally. They were getting the resources a good price anyway. But again very different scale to your other regime, and the US hasn't managed to do it in venezula either. Over throwing a regime takes a lot of luck, and a lot of people willing to be in the new regime, instability etc, I just don't see that in Russia. Plus Russia's internal security services are second to none, and their propaganda even better. But invading Ukraine wouldn't change that, and it would probably make it easier, do you know how many Ukranians would love to see that happen now? And they have a similar culture, can blend in etc.

Yep. You've phrased it better than me.

BUT Russia might have westernised I agree. Or it might have evolved past a police state. And that, to Putin, is almost as bad. This way it remains a police state, stuck in a perpetual conflict with its neighbors, and the aging fossils running it can hang on a few more decades to power.

The logistics involved in invading a country like Russia across the globe are so far removed its not even vaguely comparable. Even the Germans who bordered them and were far technologically advanced of Russia couldn't do it, so many empires have tried. Its harsh terrain and unforgiving to invade. Russia is gigantic. Plus Russia has nukes, and they will use them if their land is invaded, or their country threatened.

We are 100% of the same mind.

NATO Is a defensive alliance. Ukraine was westernising. They wanted to move beyond where Russia is. Their population were of sufficient consciousness to protest against a stage blue oppression, and when they did, Putin had them executed on mass or beaten in the streets. This started a war. Mostly because the Russian government is horribly incompetent at managing any kind of dynamic population or social pressure. The US has been AGAINST involement in Ukraine. Trump repeatedly wants to pull back, and given Russia what it wants. Biden was softly softly, whereas Eastern Europe, used to centuries of Russian invasion and meddling in their countries saw the pattern early and called for aid. Without it, there would already have been a wider war, with those countries involved in a fight that directly effects their own people. There is no hypocrisy. Countries take what they can. The more that openly do it, the easier it is for others to justify it. This is how a world war comes about. Be sick but don't start thinking Russia isn't just as bad as any power doing it. No war is justified. End of.

@Daniel Balan Its not complicated. Narratives are all BS for the masses. To keep you thinking good and bad exists. When its just about power, and what people can do. Venezula wants to give China control over one of the most valuable resources on the planet. Oil. They have openly mocked the US for a long time publicly. The US won't have that in its backyard. Because large countries throw their weight around. Russia vs Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, Chechnya, etc., Like China in the south China sea, tibet, East Turkestan, Taiwan etc. Without a unipolar world, the larger countries are doing whatever they want. Previously the US could, now they all do. Regional powers are doing it to, look at Syria, again, its everyone's land to carve up now apparently: Turkey, Israel, Isis, Iran, the Kurds, Russia, America.

I am no fan of the US. I think they are close to being an aggressive autocracy, which I loathe. Better or worse don't come into war much in my thoughts. War is hell. But when you come with language like Russia is good, after all i've seen them do, I'll certainly push back every time. I've been trying to convince people that world has shifted right for about 25 years mate. And this is the end result of it, a world war. All of these leaders are imbalanced. Democrat and republican alike. The 'left' even in the UK is barely centrist these days.