Raze

the last time Palestinians held a mass non violent movement, Israel killed over 200 of them in the great march of return. It’s not a cult of victim hood if they are victims, Israel keeps millions of them without rights and brutalizes any resistance. Israel society is absorbed in toxic stage blue victim politics which is why they constantly reference the holocaust which has no relevance to the Palestinian cause. Even some Israelis themselves admit it

This makes no sense -all data we have shows extroverted men are much more successful with women then introverted men. -how are men in power in society lying about what women are attracted to in this way? In the mainstream the message is usually that women are attracted to looks and signals of wealth (fashion, car, watch ads), or that women are attracted to special connections and huge shows of romance (romance films). Where are the powerful men sending the message women like toxicity?, and even if they are, how does that help them retain power? The people saying women don’t like beta males is a underground message.

You are misusing terms. Change just means different from status quo. It can be negative or positive, a decline or progress. Establishment just means status quo. What is established at the moment. The political establishment are those who are already in politics and seen as making the current situation persist. The anti establishment are those who are seen as coming from outside to work against what is already established to create something else. 10% of Bernie Sanders primary voters went on to vote for Trump over Hillary. How can that be when Hillary is closer to Bernie’s positions? Simple, they saw Clinton as establishment and they didn’t like that.

Trump was calling for change, even if that change was returning to the past, it was still a change from how things aee. Establishment entails more of the same. Trump was anti establishment because he wasn’t in government. He himself constantly talked about how he’s an outsider and will drain the swamp. Everything about him from the way he talked to his controversies gave him a anti establishment edge, It’s the same reason why polls showed Bernie Sanders winning the general and he appealed to independents, he had a anti establishment flair with his populist messaging. People were in a anti establishment mood, so candidates like Trump or Bernie had the advantage among the general electorate.

We both know you don’t believe this.

Bernie is older than Biden.

You don’t need general appeal to win a primary, you need primary appeal, as you are appealing to primary voters not general election voters, they are different demographics. That doesn’t automatically mean radicalism does better in a primary than it does in a general. What makes the general different is independents, and for the hundredth time Bernie did significantly better with them. If what you’re saying is true explain why hypothetical general election polls had him with a much higher lead than Clinton over Trump, those sample general voters not primary voters. The dem primary polls between Sanders and Clinton had them neck and neck or Clinton winning, which is what happened. Meaning samples of primary voters liked Clinton, but samples of general voters liked Sanders. Yet Hillary Clinton was the epitome of a established mainstream status quo politician and she lost the general to a reality tv star with no experience. The general electorate was in the mood for something else, they didn’t want establishment. In that case obviously because Hillary and Bernie would split the left leaning base.

Winning a primary shows your electability with primary voters, not with general voters. Bernie according to polling did better than Hillary with independents. Therefore, Bernie was more electable in a general where independents are relevant, than in a primary where they aren’t. So it being a primary was a disadvantage for him. This is shown in how some Bernie voters ended up voting Trump. https://www.npr.org/2017/08/24/545812242/1-in-10-sanders-primary-voters-ended-up-supporting-trump-survey-finds The 2016 election was between the two most unpopular politicians in recorded US history, by your logic those were somehow simultaneously the only ones that the people wanted. They aren’t, they were the ones the primary voters wanted and because of the two party system everyone had to go along with them. Look at the polling for Trump v Clinton compared to Trump v Sanders in 2016 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

That makes no sense. If the polls say independents like him then they like him. Primary voters are a small fraction of the voting base. Hillary won it and was she electable?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-sanders-does-better-with-independents/

These are the most recent ones https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states I am not even sure if Biden will be alive in 4 months

Why would a dictatorship cause these issues? A dictator can crack down on crime and most countries are just fine working with dictators if their interests align.

The base that votes in the primary is very different than the base that votes in the general because far more people vote in the general and winning over independents is much more important. Not only do I think Bernie would have beat trump had he won the nomination, I think he wouldn’t have such a huge ego to try and run again if he was dying like Biden is doing, and he would shift the landscape of political discourse to a much healthier place even if his proposals didn’t get past. When he was running so many people were talking about Medicare for all, tax loopholes, corporate control or politics, and failed foreign intervention. As opposed to now where its identity bs, who will give Israel more bombs, and which candidate has dementia.

All the new administrations hire and fire people to bring on their own staff. It’s not like Trump is the first to try this. His first term was actually criticized for how many positions he left unfilled. Even if Trump wants to be a dictator there are still limitations to his power from the congress, courts, and deep state. I don’t see anything in this project that would make him a dictator even if it all went through.

if the swing state polls overestimate democratic support that is even worse for Biden

Hypothetical matchup polls had Bernie beating Trump comfortably

get ifs therapy

I think people are overreacting. Every President tries to hire as many of their people and get as many of their proposals past all the time. This is just a more organized attempt for Trump to do it. Most of this won’t go through because it challenges many powerful lobbies.

But the US approved strikes inside Russia and Russia announced it is no longer at peace with the US

Those actually hurt him, many found his socialism position too radical. But he focused on practical working class issues.