World peace is inevitable and is coming soon

[LordFall]

I think all the current violent conflicts on earth will end and we will have world peace in the next 15 years through some form of global council AI police state. Perhaps through the UN or a new similar organization.

The fundamental reason is because war is as a whole unprofitable for the human race. It is very profitable for a few invested deeply in the military industrial complexes of their regions but for other power centers in their countries don't benefit from it.

Fundamentally if we look at it in terms of incentives we find ourselves with :

- Moneymaxxing - Making a lot of money in a sustainable way. Requires certainty, markets dislike uncertainty. A few players benefit from it through the previously mentionned military industrial complex and insider trading but as a whole there is just less capita produced when wars are happening. 

- Statusmaxxing - World leaders gaining power and prestige through wars. That era seems to be done mostly I believe through social media and the ease to dissiminate information and specifically the horrors and brutality of war. Hard for Netanyahu and Putin to look like glorious leaders of the human race when there is countless clips of their soldiers and missiles killing innocent people. Before social media is was much easier to keep information siloed and thus mostly the mainstream leaders had the status in society. Now we have a variety of other influencers and leaders that are able to obtain notoriety through peaceful means.

The recent shooting attempts on Trump have also highlighted how vulnerable world leaders with a public presence are so I think being a cutthroat authoritarian is gonna fall out of style quite soon. 

There is going to be a massive AI and surveillance war coming in the next decade but in my opinion it is already won by the people. What you might not know is the tech community is fundamentally anti-authoritarian and open source. The OSINT community has the most cutting edge surveillance tech and you can find it for free at public events or even on youtube. Most of the leaders in it are well meaning and have nothing to hide. 

It's just a game theory exercise, most scenarios eventually fall into a nash equilibrium however unbalanced they are in the short term. The cold war and non-proliferation treaty are a good example of that with nuclear weapons. Concerning that there are talks of them being used again but I think ultimately the laws of mutual benefit and equilibrium will prevail. 

 

[NewKidOnTheBlock]

It is honestly hard for me to understand how anyone currently living in this world, with all this technology (especially with internet and social media), has any sort of zeal for war/fighting left in them. I can understand that zeal during the 20th century, even in 21st up until mass adoption of internet and invention of social media. Everything is so strange, post modern and memey right now, like how are you gonna seriously go to war as a soldier knowing that someone on the internet is gonna make fun of that whole war and your situation. Like the way Ukrainean men are fighting in the war whilst at the same time you see some Ukrainean women party it up at some club in western Europe. Things are just not the same anymore and I don't think people anywhere in the world have that propaganda fueled resolve and willpower anymore needed to sustain wars

[LordFall]

Some people are still stick in a nationalistic mindset, me and my people against the world to the death. A lot more people don't really care like most of the Russian conscripts aren't people with good lives in cities they take advantage of poor people in small towns, criminals and foreigners. 

 

[IslandWild]

52 minutes ago, NewKidOnTheBlock said:

It is honestly hard for me to understand how anyone currently living in this world, with all this technology (especially with internet and social media), has any sort of zeal for war/fighting left in them.

Do you realize most of humanity itself lives in conditions as bad or worse than the homeless people in our developed societies that myself and presumably you live in?

It's amazing there isn't MORE widespread war and conflict our of jealously and desperation for resources that they can easily see other people in the world having through internet access. Probably the only reason there isn't is because nuclear weapons are an amazing deterrent. Though it doesn't seem to stop the more subtle reality of mass unintegrated immigrants conflicting with new cultures and causing issues.

[NewKidOnTheBlock]

29 minutes ago, IslandWild said:

Do you realize most of humanity itself lives in conditions as bad or worse than the homeless people in our developed societies that myself and presumably you live in?

It's amazing there isn't MORE widespread war and conflict our of jealously and desperation for resources that they can easily see other people in the world having through internet access. Probably the only reason there isn't is because nuclear weapons are an amazing deterrent. Though it doesn't seem to stop the more subtle reality of mass unintegrated immigrants conflicting with new cultures and causing issues.

People in those countries are living horribly, yes, and they can see a better lifestyle of people from richer countries via internet and social media, yes. But war is the last thing running throught these people's minds. I mean just imagine living in one of those overcrowded hive cities of India, Bangladesh, Egypt etc. etc. Born there, without any real prospects for a better life. Doing god knows what jobs to survive. Most people there just slouch throught life